Cybersecurity & Tech Democracy & Elections

ChinaTalk: Taiwan Election Showdown! A Blue Prof and Green Pol Explain

Jordan Schneider
Thursday, November 30, 2023, 12:00 PM

Published by The Lawfare Institute
in Cooperation With

The Taiwanese populace will head to the polls to choose their next president on January 13, 2024 — and the three-party slate is set!

To discuss, we brought on Lu Yeh-chung 盧業中 — a professor of diplomacy at National Chengchi University 國立政治大學 — and Lin Fei-fan 林飛帆, previously the Deputy-Secretary of the DPP and well-known for leading the Sunflower Student Movement in 2014.

Our conversation gets into:

What a three-party race means in a first-past-the-post electoral system, and how the pan-blue and pan-green camps are feeling;

Why the KMT-TPP alliance broke down, and what the pan-blue side needs to do to mobilize its electorate;

The KMT’s and DPP’s views on whether Taiwanese and mainland Chinese are part of the same family 兩岸一家人;

What the 1992 Consensus means to the KMT and DPP, and the tensions and synergies between idealism and functionalism in Taiwanese politics;

How the CCP views the upcoming election, and to what extent it really fears pro-independence activists in Taiwan;

What demarcates the KMT and DPP outside of cross-Strait politics, and which domestic issues are most compelling for the average Taiwanese voter;

And how the KMT and DPP balance government spending on hard military assets versus subsidizing critical technologies like semiconductors.

DPP ticket:

president: William Lai Ching-te 賴清德

vice president: Hsiao Bi-khim 蕭美琴

KMT ticket:

president: Hou Yu-ih 侯友宜

vice president: Jaw Shaw-kong 趙少康

TPP ticket:

president: Ko Wen-je 柯文哲

vice president: Cynthia Wu Hsin-ying 吳欣盈

Outro music: 回春丹- 鲜花 

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Jordan Schneider is the host of the ChinaTalk podcast and newsletter. He previously worked at Kwai, Bridgewater and the Eurasia Group. His Chinese landscape paintings "show promise."

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