The Lawfare Podcast, Trump’s Trials and Tribulations: A New Year's Update
Published by The Lawfare Institute
in Cooperation With
It's another episode of “Trump's Trials and Tribulations,” recorded on January 4 in front of a live audience on YouTube and Zoom. Lawfare Editor-in-Chief Benjamin Wittes sat down with Lawfare Legal Fellow Anna Bower and Lawfare Senior Editor Roger Parloff to discuss all of the Section 3 litigation happening across the country from Colorado to Maine. They talked about where the D.C. case stands and whether the Jan. 6 trial will start on March 4. And they took questions from a live audience.
This is a live conversation that happens online every Thursday at 4:00pm Eastern Time. If you would like to come join and ask a question, be sure to visit Lawfare’s Patreon and become a Material Supporter.
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Transcript
[Introduction]
Anna Bower: So
whenever the mandate issues, let's say that the appellate court affirms Judge
Chutkan's order, which denied immunity and, and other constitutional grounds
through that motion to dismiss, if they affirm, and the, the mandate doesn't
issue until the usual, you know, month or so after the judgment then that can
delay things even further. So the reason that Jack Smith is, you know asking
for the mandate to issue is because it's the formal mechanism that kind of
sends the case back to the trial court
Benjamin Wittes: I'm Benjamin
Wittes and this is the Lawfare Podcast, January 6, 2024. That's January
6th. Did you hear that date? It's another episode of Trump's Trials and Tribulations.
This one recorded on January 4th in front of a live audience on YouTube and
Zoom. Joining me in the virtual jungle studio were Anna Bower and Roger Parloff
of Lawfare. Anna from Georgia, Roger from France.
We discussed all of the Section 3 litigation happenings around
the country, from Colorado to Maine. We talked about where the D.C. case stands,
whether the January 6th trial will start on March 4th or whether we're in for
more appellate litigation. We also took audience questions from our material
supporters on Zoom. To be able to submit such questions to the panelists, you
too, in the future, can do that, become a material supporter of Lawfare
at lawfaremedia.org/support.
It's the Lawfare Podcast, January 6th, Trump Trials and Tribulations:
A New Year's update.
[Main Podcast]
So, a couple of announcements up front. The first is something
I'm very excited about. The day after tomorrow, on Saturday, we are launching
season two of The Aftermath.
You might notice that Saturday is January 6th. It's a total
coincidence that we're launching on the, the third anniversary of, of the
January 6th uprising. We'll be talking a little bit more about what we're doing
in season two of The Aftermath. There is no Lawfare product that
involves more work by more different people than hhe Aftermath.
It is a sort of deep collaboration between Lawfare and
Goat Rodeo and involves a whole lot of different people contributing in a lot
of different ways. We tell great stories. And tell stories that people really
don't know about the search for accountability after January 6th. That is
January 6th, 2021.
All right, we're gonna get started. We got a bunch of things on
the agenda today but we're gonna start with Section 3 of the 14th Amendment,
because you know, we have a cert petition and those are always fun. So I'm
actually for this portion of the show, going to turn the moderating duties over
to the estimable Anna Bower because, you know, I actually spend a lot of time
with Section 3, Roger spends a lot of time with Section 3, Anna's more a Fulton
County person, so she's going to moderate so that, to give me a chance to be a
little more of a participant, and then we will pass the moderating duties back
and forth.
Anna, the floor is yours.
Anna Bower: Let's
turn to one modes of potential accountability which is some of this Section 3 litigation
that's been going on. And there's been a lot happening with it over the
holiday. So, Roger, can you give us an update on what's been going on
specifically in Maine and Colorado?
Roger Parloff: Yeah.
So, we have the two disqualifications so far. Maine, the Secretary of State
Shenna Bellow's issued a 34 page ruling on December 28th. Maine happens to
have, this wasn't just a matter of somebody writing a letter to the Secretary
of State and her deciding, yeah, I'll, I'll, I'll I'll disqualify him.
They happen to have a procedure in Maine that begins with the secretary
of state. It's a formal procedure. And she took a lot of evidence. She held a
hearing. Gerard Magliacca who you may have seen on one of these things
previously, he testified he's a constitution, one of the leading constitutional
law professors on the history of the 14th Amendment. So, and that will be
proceeding. That has already been appealed. It goes, there's an appeal to the
Superior Court which must rule by January 17th. And then it, further appeal
goes to the Supreme Judicial Court of Maine. And there's, that they must rule
within 14 days, so it's unrelated to when Trump appeals or whoever appeals. So
that will be proceeding quickly.
Meanwhile, the Colorado case I think on the 27th of December,
the Colorado State Republican Party petitioned for cert. That commenced that
process and Trump just filed his petition, the third yesterday. And it's
possible, it's possible that the Supreme Court could hear it, I mean, could
decide the petition as early as tomorrow. There's a conference tomorrow. I
think we have to see if CREW for the voters gets in its, its reply to the Trump
petition, which just came in. And both the party, the Republican party, the
state Republican party and the voters want a expedited procedure.
The party would like a resolution by March 5, which is Super
Tuesday. The voter challengers want a resolution even earlier, by February 12.
That's when, in state voters in Colorado get their prepared ballots. And so,
they have asked the, the voter challengers have asked for argument on January
19th.
We'll have to see what happens. So that's the speed of it.
Colorado, I'll just mention the, the party has asked, has presented, they want
the court to hear three issues. Trump has asked the court to hear five issues,
only one of which is the same as those first three. So it'll be interesting to
see if the Supreme Court, if it does take the case, if it, if it tells us which
issues it wants it wants argued.
Anna Bower: Thanks,
Roger. And okay, so Ben, over to you. What ought the Supreme Court do in this
case and versus what do you think it will end up doing and how quickly will it
resolve the issue?
Benjamin Wittes:
Look, if by what they ought to do, you mean what I think the right reading of Section
3 is historically and textually. I find it very hard to read Section 3 as
saying other anything other than that Donald Trump is disqualified from future
service of office of honor and trust anywhere in the United States, including
the presidency.
I am aware that there are some substantial arguments
particularly on the question of whether the provision is self-executing and
whether the provision reference to the oath includes the presidential oath and
more substantially, I think, whether the presidency is an office under the
United States for purposes of the revision.
That said, I think is very hard for me to get around the fact
that you know, all of that seems like a lot of intellectual beavering away to
make the words that that amendment contains not mean what they say. And so if
what you mean is, what is the right reading of the law? I, I think, you know,
if I were a justice on the Colorado Supreme Court, I would have signed the
majority opinion.
I think it's probably the, it's the best interpretation, in my
opinion. And by the way, you know, that is you know, yes, that's the view of
people like Gerard Magliocca, who as far as I know is not a conservative. It's
also the views of people like Will Baude and Mike Paulson, David French in the
more sort of popular legal vein, although David is an extremely serious lawyer,
and Mike Luttig, right?
So this is not, you by no means have to be a, a kind of lefty
living constitutionalist to believe this. In fact, it's a very textual
analysis. So, now the question of what the Supreme Court should do legally and
should do prudentially, there is a, you know, a lot of people perceive a gap
between those two.
And one of them early on in the, in, in his coverage of this
stuff was Roger. I, you know, who, you know, one of the reasons, as I recall,
Roger, that you got interested in this subject was that you thought, gee, the
legal argument for this is really good, and it might be a disaster if they
actually followed it.
And so, like, I think that aspect of the should, the sort of
legal realist who says, wait, do we really want the Supreme Court doing this?
I, I, I don't know how to think about that question. You know, I'm enough of a
legal formalist that I sort of make a point of not thinking about questions
like that, but without delegitimizing them. They're, they're totally legitimate
questions. I just don't know how to think about it.
What will the court do? I don't know. And I don't think the
chances that it will read the Constitution at, take it at its word, are zero,
like a lot of people seem to. I, I, I, if I were Neil Gorsuch or Amy Coney
Barrett, who, you know, imagine themselves, and I think with some justice, to
be, you know, committed principled textualists, this would be a very hard case
for me.
It's, it's not an easy thing to be an original public meaning
person and say, wow, you know, when the Constitution says, if you swore an oath
to preserve and defend the constitution or support the constitution, and then
you waged a insurrection, you don't get to serve again, that that means
something other than that Donald Trump doesn't get to serve again.
So I, I don't really, I don't want to be cynical about the
justices, except the ones who've given me very specific reason to be. And I
think this is a hard set of, going to be a hard set of questions for them,
particularly under the time pressure that they're going to have to deal with
it. And I don't want to assume that I understand the inputs into the way they
will think about it.
Anna Bower: Right.
And, and one thing that I've recently found interesting is that, you know,
people have heard a lot about some of the arguments that Trump has made about
Section 3. For example, you know, that the, the presidency is not, the
president is not an officer of the United States, that Section 3 is not self-executing,
you know, that he, he didn't engage in insurrection and that January 6th didn't
qualify as an insurrection, that kind of stuff.
But one of the more recent arguments that I've heard discussed
more and more is, is an argument that I, I believe Trump raises it in, in his
petition for cert, but then also in an amicus brief it comes up, it's this
argument that's kind of, you know, there's a difference between running for
office and actually holding office.
What do, Roger and Ben, do either of you have thoughts on that
argument and, and what, what's your opinion on that?
Roger Parloff: Yeah,
that, it's been an issue along the edges all along. Actually, one of, another
friend of Lawfare, Derek Muller, has been raising this issue all along.
You know, the, and it, and it rises in stronger and weaker fashion.
I was surprised that in Trump's cert petition, because it
didn't play a big role in Colorado but his cert petition raises it really twice
in different contexts. And one version of it is that, that Colorado because
it's a disqualification from holding office, not for running for office,
Colorado has added an eligibility requirement that doesn't exist for running
for president. It's not a federal requirement for being president.
And at some point it becomes, in my mind, a silly argument, a
sort of ostrich in the sand argument because the argument is, well, how do we
know that Congress will not lift this disability from Trump between the time of
the primary and the time that if he's elected president, he needs to enter
office. You know, maybe two-thirds of each house will decide, oh, well, let's,
let's lift the, the disability. And so, you can't, disqualify him now because
he may eventually become eligible again. And, and, and of course what that's
based on is there are cases where people tried to run for office different
offices, say Senator of Colorado, and, and they weren't a resident of the
state.
And, and this is the actual case might not be Colorado, but it
was something like this, and of course the judge said, well, he can move into
the state, before January 1, or whatever, so you, you need to put him on the
ballot. This is not really the same thing, you know. I control where I, where I
live. I can, you know, I can get up and move.
It's a bit of a hassle, but I can move. I can't dictate that two-thirds
of each house of Congress will lift a disability from me. And I, I, so, you
know, I'm not doing, I'm sure I'm not doing it justice, but I just think it,
it, it's at some level, silly. But, that's, that's my reaction
Benjamin Wittes: Just
to amplify that, I mean, first of all, as a general matter, it's not a matter
of federal constitutional law, whether Colorado, you know, what Colorado's
ballot access rules are. And so, you know, to say you must put me on the
ballot, despite Colorado's adjudication of the matter, because Congress would
by two thirds majority lift the disability, assuming that it exists.
I'm not sure why Colorado doesn't get it as much, Colorado's
actual adjudication of actual facts that exist today get at least as much
deference as Congress's hypothetical adjudication of a matter, you know, nine
or ten months from now. The other thing that I would just say about, about this
is I don't really understand, with members of Congress, there's this other way
other than ballot access to effectuate the provision, which is that the
Congress itself can refuse to seat somebody.
So, you participated in January 6th, Congress thinks
you're ineligible. It's just a vote not to seat you when you're elected.
There's no analogous way for the president not to, you know, for the
ineligibility to be adjudicated. It's not like, you know, Justice, Chief Justice
Roberts won't swear him in because you know, cause of Section 3.
And by the way, if Chief Justice Roberts didn't, Justice Thomas
would, right? So there's no rule that says the chief justice has to do it. So,
like, one, one problem with this argument, which by the way seems to be like,
particularly election law people seem to be into it. One problem with it is
that it creates a constitutional provision that has no effect-, no mode of
effectuation in the highest stakes case.
So, alright, Colorado can't keep you on the ballot because
circumst- off the ballot because circumstances might change. So then, what is
the mechanism by which, assuming this provision applies to you, who keeps you
off, who, who prevents you from that service? Is it, is it a challenge to the
counting of the electoral votes? That, you know, which I'm not sure that's a
good one.
Roger Parloff: No,
no. And in fact, even supposing this, and supposing that's what, we're talking
about that January 6th, 2025, people start saying well, he's disqualified. I'm
not going to count these votes. Assuming the new revision of the Electoral
Count Act still permits that, you would still raise this argument if you
believe it and say, well, there's two weeks left.
You know, two-thirds of Congress could still lift the, you
know, it's crazy. And it's just a train wreck, it's just kicking a
constitutional crisis a little further down the road.
Benjamin Wittes: I
mean, I, I do think the, the basic answer has to be that the management of the
state ballot is a matter of state law. The matter of eligibility for the
presidency is a matter of federal constitutional law.
And so, I think the rules should be the Supreme Court decides
what Section 3 of the 14th Amendment means. And then, assuming that it means
Donald Trump is ineligible, or if it means that Donald Trump is ineligible, you
know, different states are going to effectuate that in different ways. And
Colorado can effectuate it by striking, not letting him be on the ballot.
You know, what Mississippi can effectuate it by letting him be
on the ballot and letting people cast a protest vote for him and casting away
it's, you know, wasting its electoral votes on somebody who's constitutionally
ineligible to be president. But I don't think the argument that Colorado
doesn't, doesn't have the sovereign right to implement federal law through its
ballot process because circumstances might change. That makes no sense to me at
all.
Roger Parloff: To be
fair, there is another way that I think Trump will raise this argument, which
is instead of, you know, obviously in, in the Supreme Court, you aren't
supposed to just say the, the state court got state law wrong, but you can say
the Elector Cause, Clause of the Constitution gives state legislatures the
power to decide how state electors will be selected.
And the fed, and, and the Supreme Court can at least in certain,
certain circumstances and did in, perhaps in, in Bush v. Gore can say
the state misinterpreted how its state legislature wanted this decision to be
made. And because it involves a presidential elector, we can make that
decision.
And so they might be saying the Supreme Court of Colorado
misinterpreted what this Colorado legislature thought about whether you could keep
Trump off the ballot, a, you could keep somebody off the primary ballot at this
stage, at this stage. So it, it, it would be, it's a convoluted argument. But
it's, I think it's one of the arguments they're making.
Anna Bower: All
right. Before I hand it off back to Ben, Roger, you have been tracking along
with other Lawfare associate editors, including Hyemin Han, who's been
kind of our Section 3 litigation tracker, a guru. You have been tracking cases
not only in Colorado and Maine, but also across the country.
And while this is, pending before the Supreme Court, though
some of those cases may advance further. So what kind of cases are you
watching? Are there any other states that we should be taking a close look at
in the coming weeks?
Roger Parloff: Yeah,
I, the, when Trump filed his petition for cert he told us that it says that
more than 60 lawsuits or administrative challenges have been filed to him. He
has repeatedly declined to share with us his list. But, like you say, Hyemin
Han and Caleb Benjamin also, have been trying to track this as best we can. We
are aware, and I am aware through them, of at least 40 lawsuits that have been
filed in at least 36 states. 14 of those have been withdrawn, voluntarily
withdrawn.
A large number of those are not very strong. They are filed by non-lawyers.
on behalf of themselves. 26 of these, at least 26, were filed by a guy named
John Anthony Castro. He's also withdrawn 14. So, we tend to look at, there was
a, we tend to look at ones that are filed by lawyers and especially groups of
lawyers that have really looked into these issues and the primary ones are, are
the Citizens, the CREW group, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in
Washington. They're behind the Colorado case. And I'm not a, I'm not aware of a
group like that in, involved in Maine, actually.
The other big group is Free Speech for People. And they filed
important cases in Minnesota and Michigan. Those were dismissed, but they were
dismissed only as to the primary because of the state law in in those states,
which says basically, according to their courts that if, if a party wants to
run an ineligible candidate, they can.
And so they both ruled that, they dismissed at the primary
stage, but they have said, you know, this isn't ripe as to the general election
stage, because we don't technically know who the Republican candidate is going
to be yet. So, going down the, the, you know, if, if the, if the Supreme Court
doesn't somehow send a big signal soon there will be very important cases again
in Minnesota and, and in Michigan. Minnesota, in particular, because under
their law, it begins right at their state Supreme Court level.
There was a new major administrative filing today by Free
Speech for People in Illinois. That's a 78 page petition, but it's, it's
administrative, so it won't immediately be on our disqualification tracker,
which tracks litigation but that that will probably be important. And I think
there might be another before the end of today will be, a new one will be
filed.
There is one more in Oregon with also by Free Speech for People,
I think filed in the Oregon Supreme Court. But I think the state secretary of
state is taking issue with whether she disagrees about the state law in, in
Oregon, so that may not be a, a very strong case for the challengers.
Anna Bower: Yeah, and
I would add that I also got an email earlier today announcing that in
Wisconsin, the Minocqua Brewing guy who had, had filed pro se before the
elections commission, but then said that he had been working on getting a legal
team on his Section 3 petition and that he'd be filing in Superior Court on
Friday, I believe.
So, it'll be interesting to see if he did, if he will be filing
pro se again, or if, if he you know, brought in a team to, to work on the
petition. Okay. And I think that that wraps up our section three segment. So
Ben, I'm going to hand it back to you.
Benjamin Wittes: All
right. So let's talk about immunity and we're going to be relatively brief on D.C.
Circuit immunity because just earlier today we recorded a Lawfare podcast
about it that I think is going to run on Monday and is pretty deep dive on the
subject in the run up to Tuesday's oral argument at the D.C. Circuit. So we're
going to go a little light on that here to avoid duplication, but Anna, have
fun with immunity. What, what, what, you know, can, can we shoot people on 5th
Avenue now?
Anna Bower: I, I
mean, I think that what I, have overwhelmingly had conversations with people
about whether no matter kind of their range of their ideological or
perspectives on how judges should judge.
It seems to be the bottom line is that people think that Trump
will lose. It's just a question of how and, you know, again, I don't want to
get too far into it because there are some questions about it in the q and a
and then also we have a whole podcast on it. But there's a few ways that it
could go, which is that the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals recognizes
presidential immunity in the context of criminal cases, as it applies to former
presidents but then says it doesn't apply in in this case because Trump was not
acting within the outer perimeter of his official duties. They could say that
no, there is no presidential immunity in the context of criminal cases, full
stop.
Or they could decide on this jurisdictional issue that's been
raised by the American Oversight amicus brief. They argue that, you know, this
kind of immunity argument is not subject to interlocutory appeal. And so the
court should, you know, send the case back to the district court. And, and we
go into, in the podcast, we talk about a lot of ways that that could either give
the Supreme Court an out and kind of resolve the case in a very, in a quick way
or it could draw things out more and, and really cause some substantial delays.
So I'm, I'm not sure how the, which of those tracks the D.C. Circuit
will take. It's really kind of hard to say but I think that that's hopefully
that summary, that very high level summary gives people a kind of a number of
buckets in which they could expect a decision and, and what they can expect
from the argument on Tuesday.
Benjamin Wittes: All
right, so let's talk time frame. We have an argument on Tuesday. Seems like
it's going to encompass three major issues, right? One is whether there is
absolute presidential, absolute immunity from criminal process for matters
within the Nixon v. Fitzgerald conception of the presidency.
The second is whether there's a double jeopardy problem with
trying Donald Trump since he was tried once and acquitted in the context of the,
the second impeachment for conduct that is substantially overlapping with the
conduct here. That's, I think, a pretty frivolous question.
And then the third is whether the D.C. Circuit has jurisdiction
to be hearing this question at all, these questions at all. What are, what are
you looking for in terms of time from oral argument to disposition?
Anna Bower: I think
that it's going to be really quick within a week, that the, and, and I would
also note as well that I know there's a question in the q and a about this, but
Jack Smith additionally requested that from the time that the court issues its
decision to the issuance of the mandate, they would like the mandate to be
issued within five days of judgment.
That's important because they're, the mandate, not the opinion,
is what actually sends jurisdiction, you know, to, to the next court. So
whenever the mandate issues, let's say that the appellate court affirms Judge
Chutkan's order, which denied immunity and, and other constitutional grounds through
that motion to dismiss. If they affirm and the, the mandate doesn't issue until
the usual, you know, month or so after the judgment, then that can delay things
even further.
So the reason that Jack Smith is, you know, asking for the
mandate to issue is because it's the formal mechanism that kind of sends the
case back to the trial court.
Benjamin Wittes: And
thus starts the trial clock ticking again, which has been on hold.
Anna Bower: Right.
And so not only does it allow proceedings to recommence in the trial court, but
it also puts a lot of pressure on Trump to go ahead and try to, if so, I mean,
again, I'm speaking as though I, I already know that the appeal is going to be
affirmed.
But assuming that that is the case. It puts pressure on Trump
to go ahead and try to appeal to the Supreme Court if he has an adverse
decision because he doesn't want proceedings to recommence in the trial court.
So, you know, there's just kind of a lot that's going on there strategically as
to why Jack Smith asked for that mandate to issue.
But, I, I mean, I think that the D.C. Circuit could just act
within a week and then almost, you know, it's within the court's discretion to
issue the mandate even earlier than five days. I, I don't know that they would
do that. But it, it is certainly possible, but I'm curious Roger what your
thoughts are, and, and Ben.
Roger Parloff: I
agree with you. I'm, I'm expecting a pretty quick decision. You know, they,
they recently issued their ruling in Blassingame and actually in a
related case as well.
Benjamin Wittes: Took
a year though to issue that one.
Roger Parloff: Yes,
but by then they had thought about these things for a while and that was a
civil immunity question and I, I just think this is just from every, everything
we see except the Trump brief, the, the criminal, the idea of criminal immunity
has always been considered a much more far out idea and a much more dangerous
idea and I, I, I think they'll move quickly.
Benjamin Wittes: And,
what do you both think is the likelihood of, like, it's a whole different
ballgame if the Supreme Court gets involved at this stage, assuming that we're
looking at two possibilities from the D.C. Circuit. One is, we don't have
jurisdiction over this. And the other is Trump loses on the merits. What do you
think the likelihood of the Supreme Court taking either of those questions up
pre trial?
Roger Parloff: Yeah,
I, I also don't think they're going to do that. I'm, I'm optimistic that when
they refuse review the first time, they're prepared to leave this to the D.C.
Circuit.
Benjamin Wittes: What
do you think, Anna?
Anna Bower: I'm also
optimistic, a little bit less optimistic if the D.C. Circuit opinion, D.C.
Circuit's opinion is grounded in the jurisdictional question because that's a
question that affects a much wider variety of, of criminal defendants because
it goes to not just presidential immunity, but other types of immunity.
And so I do worry that if the court decides on this
jurisdictional issue that's raised by American Oversight, then it causes delay
in the sense that the Supreme Court might be more willing to take it up. And
then that also raises questions about, you know, if the court decides the
jurisdictional question goes up to the court who then sends it back down for a
merits decision if they decide, you know, so it kind of could get into this
back and forth and, and cause some, some serious delays.
But if that is not the basis for the court's decision, I, like
Roger, am, am optimistic that the court will refuse review, especially in light
of Judge Pryor's decision in the 11th Circuit. Again, you know, different facts
because it's Mark Meadows and a different kind of, you know, test, but it does
relate to some, some similar things.
And Judge Pryor is a proxy for some of the more conservative
voices on the Supreme Court. And it might be a signal that, you know, the
Supreme Court might just, you know, you know, refuse review because they agree
on the merits that Trump's conduct is, you know, not within the scope of
presidential immunity if there is such an immunity.
Benjamin Wittes: So,
from both of you, the case is currently scheduled for trial March 4th. How
long, if any, delay is, is that going to be? Are we going to see a March 4th
trial? And if not, what's the date on which you would predict Judge Chutkan
actually gets to seat a jury and, you know, gavel things to start?
Roger Parloff: I haven't
sat down with my calculator and it, it, the, the gut feeling is that March 4th
is going to be really, really hard to make right now.
And I'm also worried about the motion for rehearing en banc. I
assume that they would not grant. a stay, and I, I assume the mandate would go
back to Chutkan and, and nobody would stay permitting the case to go forward
if, if that is being lit, litigated. You know, a rehearing en banc, then you
wait for that to be, and then, and then the cert petition, all of that, you
know, would be disastrous. But there's an outside shot of keeping that date. I
just, my, the, the other nightmare scenario is that you miss that date and then
the New York case begins on March 25th and then you know, when, when do you,
when do you get your next opportunity?
It does not look like the Florida case is really going to go in
May. I'm still hopeful perhaps April or May is, is, is what we're looking at.
Benjamin Wittes: Do
you have a prediction, Anna?
Anna Bower: I am not
optimistic about a March trial at all. I think there's no way that it happens.
I would say May or June.
Benjamin Wittes: I'm
going to say March.
Roger Parloff: Give
us the correct answer.
Benjamin Wittes: March
4th is going to happen and here's why.
Because the D.C. Circuit's going to rule in a week, like Anna
says, and the Supreme Court's not going to hear it, like Roger says. And, by
the way the government has been keeping up with its discovery obligations much
to the chagrin of Trump's lawyers. And so, they're not really losing a lot of
time with this delay.
And Judge Chutkan's going to want to say a very gentle, you
know, fuck you, you can't push me around that easily to the defense. And so I,
I think we're going to see, if Anna is right and Roger is right, then March 4th
is going to happen. That's my prediction. All right. That brings me to the fact
that Trump's lawyers have moved, and I have not read this brief, so if I get
the details of this wrong. But as I understand it, they have moved Chutkan, to
hold the prosecutors in contempt. for continuing to produce discovery while
Judge Chutkan does not have jurisdiction over this case. So my first question,
Roger, is, is, am I summarizing that accurately?
Roger Parloff:
There's a little bit more, I mean, it's, yes, discovery several thousand pages
exhibit lists, and I guess just recently a motion, motion for in limine, a
motion in limine, a pretrial motion to, here are the things we want you to
exclude. So far as I know there's nothing Trump has to do.
Benjamin Wittes:
Yeah. So let me, let me just ask you a series of yes or no questions here. Does
the deprivation of jurisdiction of Judge Chutkan involve an injunction against
the government for, to, against giving information to the defense?
Roger Parloff: No,
the the best you could do is you could say she said, it's, it's, more the way
she phrased it. It was more than a mere stay of deadlines, it was, or other
things that move the case forward, there was language to that effect. And, and
so they're latching onto that.
Benjamin Wittes:
Yeah, but if the government wanted to give a whole lot of this information,
say, to Anna Bower, there's, the government's allowed to give information to
whoever it wants to, right? It's not, and it's filing motions. I, I read the
footnote in that motion in limine, it's footnote one on page one, and it says,
look, the case isn't moving forward, but we are meeting our own dead-
We are meeting the deadlines. You don't have to rule on
anything, but we're, we're meeting our own deadlines to try to keep this thing
moving. And so that when the mandate gets returned to you, you can pick things
up. There's no injunction against the government filing stuff. Well, what am I
missing?
Roger Parloff: No,
it's a weird one. And they call it in absentia proceedings. And I think what
really drives Trump crazy is that, you know, these proceedings will be picked
up and there will be news about him. And like this latest one, you know, he, it
was the motion in limine. He doesn't want, you know, they don't want the jury
exposed to Trump's disinformation.
They don't want partisan political attacks. They don't, you
know, and so this is reported and then, he, he feels like, this is harmful to
his campaign and he wants to use the, the stay order as almost as a gag order
in effect. As a gag order on, on the special counsel's office, that it can no
longer discuss the case.
Anna Bower: But the
thing is, there are ways that you can make the argument that, look, this you
know, unfairly, like, makes the criminal defendant who doesn't have the burdens
of litigation because of the stay to feel the need to respond. Like, you can
make a kind of more reasonable argument by through, for example, you could do
like a motion to strike, right?
And then, and then, you know, in that way kind of express, you
know, that this isn't appropriate and see what the court does. But a motion to
hold prosecutors in contempt when I don't even think that this is any is, is in
any way in violation of the stay order. I, I, but maybe that's just me, but-
Benjamin Wittes: I, I
also just wanna say, a deprivation of jurisdiction is a deprivation of her
jurisdiction. It's not a bind, it doesn't bind the Justice Department. It
prevents her from ruling on anything. And so she issues a stay. The stay says,
I'm not proceeding with this, with this matter. It doesn't say you can't give,
you can't file anything. It doesn't, it's a very silly thing. I'm sure it'll
play well on Fox News, but all right, but we're going to leave it there on, on
that because we've already given it too much air time.
All right, we have two more matters to cover and then we have
15 questions in the queue. So, so let's, let's deal quickly with Fulton County
and bring us up to speed. Mark Meadows has added my old friend Paul Clement to
his legal team. I just want to say a word. Paul Clement is one of the very,
very finest appellate lawyers around. He was solicitor general in the Bush
administration. He is a gentleman, a scholar, and a very serious lawyer. What
is he doing slumming with Mark Meadows?
Anna Bower: Yeah, I
think that, I think it was Kyle Cheney who described it as Meadows bringing in
the big guns, and the reason that he says that is because within the, you know,
relatively small world of Supreme Court advocacy, I mean, you, you really can't
find someone with more, or it's hard to find someone with more experience before
that court, then, then Paul Clement. He is, you know, probably the most famous
Supreme Court advocate in the country.
Benjamin Wittes: One of them anyway.
Anna Bower: Yeah, one of, one of them.
Benjamin Wittes: Currently,
he's the most, he's the, the finest and most famous Supreme Court advocate of
his generation.
I mean, there's the, what were the, the Ted Olsons from the
previous generation, right? And there were the, Paul is a very unusual figure.
And to bring him in on a removal matter that you've just gotten your ass handed
to you by Judge Pryor. I mean, look, Meadows has been extremely well
represented. He's, he's represented by the McGuire Woods people. They're,
they're, you know, George Terwilliger and Bittman and company. They're, that's
a serious group of people. So it's not surprising that if they're going to the
Supreme Court on the removal matter, they're going to bring in one of the
heaviest hitters there is, but still it's, it makes a statement.
Anna Bower: Yeah, it
makes a statement and, you know, it, it also kind of suggests that whatever
happens with the rehearing en banc, if the court does not decide to rehear it,
then they're going, they are going to petition for review from the Supreme
Court. I don't really understand the request for the petition for rehearing
unless it's a delay tactic.
I don't know. I wonder what the two of you think about that. I,
I, I am just not particularly convinced that even if the court did rehear it
you know, it seems to me that the three judge panel that decided it, you know,
it, the ideological spectrum there, it ran from the chief judge who, again, is
a very, very well respected conservative jurist amongst, you know, conservative
jurists and, and particularly amongst people who sit on the 11th Circuit and
then, you know, you have two other judges who have, have a different kind of
ideological persuasion in terms of their judicial opinions.
And then you also have an en banc decision in the Pate
case that came to a very similar conclusion as what the court found in the
Meadows case. So I'm just not entirely sure what the strategy is behind
requesting a rehearing en banc because, so if anyone has thoughts on that,
please do chime in. But it is just significant because all of this suggests
that, you know, Meadows is going to continue to try to appeal this and he is
going all the way to or intends to go all the way to the Supreme Court if
needed.
Benjamin Wittes: All
right, so, all pretrial motions, other than motions in limine, are due before
Judge McAfee for Fulton County defendants on January 8th. He continues to move
this case along. What do we make of it?
Anna Bower: Well, I
should say that it's that deadline applies to the, I believe it's to all of the
non-removal defendants. I can't remember if there's some different,
differentiation there between the removal defendants, but regardless. There is
this upcoming deadline, possible that it could be moved.
But other than that, you know, there's not a whole lot right
now that's going on in the Fulton County case that is, is publicly available.
But I, I would assume that as we get closer to January 8th, we'll probably see
you know, a flurry of activity on the docket.
Benjamin Wittes: January
8th is, you know, four days.
Anna Bower: Yeah. So
we'll see what happens. Stay tuned.
Benjamin Wittes: Any,
any news of any more pleas coming?
Anna Bower: Not that
I'm aware of. Again, I think that there is still a bit of a holding pattern in
terms of pleas and, and people seeing how various things shake out.
Benjamin Wittes: All
right. Final question for Roger. It's been awfully quiet down in Fort Pierce,
Florida. Has anything been happening or has, like time just ground to a halt?
Roger Parloff: Well,
the briefing has been completed on the CIPA Section 4, the, not on the CIPA
Section 4 litigation itself, but on the question of whether the defendants will
be given an adversarial role in that. Usually, CIPA Section 4 is ex parte. It's
usually just the government presents something to the court in, in enormous
secrecy because what they're doing is they are saying there's certain
information that’s highly, highly classified where we do have to, we think we
do have a discovery obligation to share some of it, but not all of it.
And so we want to cut this, and we want to, we want to redact
that, we want to summarize to keep the ultra secret information, and the Trump
and, and even the, his codefendants want an adversarial proceeding instead. And
a lot of CIPA experts have said that if Judge Cannon gives the defense what
they're seeking, this will force an interlocutory appeal.
I've begun to sort of doubt that. I don't know if it's as
crucial as made out and if they're asking for things that are quite as
unreasonable as it sounds, but it's, it's, it gets pretty far into the weeds.
The, the other thing that's happening is that the government is asking for,
just as it did in the Washington case, it's asking for notice of whether Trump
is going to present an advice of counsel defense.
And the, and Trump recently filed his objection to that. The
problem there is that Judge Cannon has elsewhere in other case, in another
case, did grant a motion for such a notice, gave five weeks notice prior to
trial the defendant had to reveal that. The government here is asking 60 days,
so a longer period.
So it's going to be hard for her to completely deny that
motion, I think. The, the, the, I guess the main thing that's of interest maybe
is that in responding to it, Trump really goes after, says, is promising to
file a motion to, about prosecutorial abuse relating to the fact that the, that
his lawyers Evan Corcoran and the the woman who's, Little
Anna Bower: Jennifer
Little.
Roger Parloff: Jennifer
Little, yeah. They had to testify before the grand jury and apparently he's
planning a big attack on the special counsel for using the D.C. grand jury to
pierce his attorney client privilege. And interestingly, he also quotes a, cites
a Kyle Cheney article in Politico about, if you remember when that was going
on, the D.C. Circuit did a really lightning appeal of one of those attorney client
privilege rulings, which was in the grand, in the grand jury, you know, like
overnight, briefing overnight. And it sounds like they're going to go after not
just Special Counsel Jack Smith, but after the D.C. Circuit and after Beryl
Howell, Judge Beryl Howell, the then Chief Judge so they might be going after
the D.C. judges. So, it does sound like some wild stuff coming down the pike.
Benjamin Wittes: All
right, in the octagon cage match between Judge Cannon and Judge Beryl Howell, I
I would put my money on Judge Howell, actually. I, she is a veteran of
congressional staff wars, and the federal judiciary ain't got nothing on that.
All right, we've got 15 questions. I'm gonna try to get through
them all. So if you ask your question yourself, please keep it brief. I'm going
to be brief and answers are going to be brief. Catherine asks, if not already
discussed, can we have an update on the second Jean Carroll case? So that one
is beyond our jurisdiction. The expected ruling from Judge Engoron, that one's
kind of beyond our jurisdiction too, although we've touched it a little bit.
And this one's within our jurisdiction, the Alvin Bragg, Stormy
Daniels case, and if Michael Cohen will survive credibility as a witness. So
let me just say the, the Alvin Bragg case is moving along, you know, as Roger
noted earlier, it is, seems to be a plausible candidate to go on March 25th if
the March 4th trial deadline date in Washington slips.
So watch for that case to maybe be the sleeper of this winter.
There has been very little public action in it, but it has not, but there is a
trial date. And Roger and Anna, do either of you have updates on that case that
are sort of public? I, I haven't seen much.
Roger Parloff: No, I,
I, I haven't heard hide or hair of that case in a while.
Benjamin Wittes: Anna?
Anna Bower: I do not,
but once again, I will, I will try to come next week with some updates on some
of these cases. They've kind of slipped to the back burner because we've been
keeping up with the other Trump cases, but now that it has been raised I, I
will endeavor to come next week with some updates.
Benjamin Wittes: Josh
writes, it is, is it unusual for this, that this D.C. Circuit panel requested
the parties to be ready to respond to the points raised in the amicus briefs.
What do people think of the jurisdiction issue? So we've already talked about
the jurisdiction issue a little bit. I will say there is nothing unusual at all
about a court noticing something in an amicus brief and sometimes requesting
briefing on it from the parties or sometimes say, hey, we're interested in this
in oral arguments.
This is one of the functions of an amicus briefs. I will say in
this case, there's an additional reason why it's not unusual, which is that the,
the parties, the, the amicus briefs claim is, that it's a jurist-, is that it's
the, its point is jurisdictional for those of you who aren't fed courts people.
A jurisdictional issue is always before a court, even if no party raised it.
So in this case, because it goes to the right of the court, the
authority of the court, even to hear the case. And so in this case both parties
have sort of stipulated to the courts having jurisdiction. And American
Oversight comes in and says, no you don't, and they cite an apparently on point
9 to nothing Supreme Court decision by Justice Scalia, and which apparently has
dozens of, of lower court implementations of it, including by one, by one of
the judges who's sitting on this case.
And so I don't think it's surprising at all that the judges
said, hey, you know, like you've come to argument being ready to talk about
this. Do either of you disagree with that?
Roger Parloff: No, I,
I was a little surprised that Jack Smith didn't even mention it, not even in a
footnote, even though their brief was filed a few days after that amicus brief
was filed. I don't understand that. I, I mean, these are much more skilled and
credentialed people than me, but that doesn't sound, I don't get that.
Anna Bower: Well,
Roger, you should listen to the podcast on Monday.
Benjamin Wittes:
Yeah, we have a, we have a lengthy discussion of this subject. All right,
Michael asks, it has been reported that Donald Trump plans to attend the D.C.
Circuit oral argument on his immunity in person. Any thoughts, Anna Bower,
about how that argument will go in light of Trump's presence and what effect
it's going to have on the line? And will his counsel be more focused on
answering the court's questions or performing for his orange client?
Anna Bower: Yeah, I
mean, it's a good question. I, I think it could change some of the tone of the
argument, but I, I mean, I don't know. I think that there's an extent to which
his counsel have already been performing for their client, you know, even when
he is not there because there's so much news reporting around what is said and
what goes on.
So I'm not entirely sure if it's going to really change much
but it will change a lot for me in terms of what time I have to actually show
up there. So, I'm very much hoping that he does not come to the oral argument
because it will make my life a lot worse in terms of the line situation and,
and lack of sleep situation.
Benjamin Wittes:
Well, the line situation is always good for Lawfare social media, so be
sure to take pictures, selfies, and the like.
Roger Parloff: There
is, there is one thing aside from his presence, physical presence and I've been
wondering about how this will impact, especially the Supreme Court cases. Because
he has some very good lawyers, very professional lawyers and in the Section 3 cases,
his lawyers have been very good.
But his reply to the D.C. Circuit, I don't know if you read
the, you know, there are pages in there where you know, he must have grabbed
the, the word processor himself. And it is, it, it will be, you know, if the
Supreme Court gets pages like that. It will shock them. You know, it is so
offensive to have this.
It is so insulting to their intelligence to have these non-legal
arguments, to have this crude campaign bluster and threats and, and, you know,
there was a quotation to one of his tweets and, and a citation and the tweet
itself referenced a published list of election lies. And, and it was not
published. It was like a manuscript, unsigned manuscript of election lies. And what
is it doing in the reply brief in front of the D.C.? This, if they do, if they
try a stunt like that in the Supreme Court, it will shock all of those
justices. And it's hard to tell how they'll react.
Benjamin Wittes: Good
point. Richard Wattenbarger, the floor is yours.
Audience Member: Hello,
Happy New Year. My question concerns the deterrent effect of any sort of
sanctions that are available to judges in the various Trump trials in the event
that he is held in, in, in contempt of court. So for example, what, what, what
are the limits of the sanctions that are available? Can a judge, for example,
fine Trump a large sum like you know, a million dollars? And are there
realistically any deterrents available that would, that Trump would have
difficulty turning to his disadvantage or, I mean, to his advantage, or is he
in a position that he can behave badly and profit from it?
Benjamin Wittes: So
we have been asked this question a lot over the months, and I will just very
briefly list a number of the sanctions that are available to judges.
Number 1, there are fines. Number 2, there are escalating
fines. Number 3, there are sanctions available in the form of, for example,
when, when Rudy Giuliani didn't comply with a bunch of discovery orders, he
defaulted the case, right? You can have internal penalties within the
litigation. These can be very powerful, by the way.
Number 4, Judge Chutkan has floated the idea that she might
accelerate the trial schedule. And number 5, ultimately you do have locking
people up. Is, so these are some of the broad categories that are available.
Whether they are capable of restraining Trump is really more a question of how
aggressively a judge is willing to use them, I think.
Okay, fresh from his 435, I believe, sack of Rome, Alaric. And
did I get the date right? The year right of the Alaric I sack of Rome?
Audience Member: The
century, for sure.
Benjamin Wittes: I'm
embarrassed if I got it wrong, but maybe 416. I'm not sure. Anyway, the floor
is yours.
Audience Member:
Thank you. And very quickly let me plug Lawfare Patreon status by
thanking you for actually recording a mini pod to address a question I had a
couple of months ago. It's just a great thing that I can be so ignorant and get
questions answered by such experts. So let me just, you know-
Benjamin Wittes: Your
check for the plug is in the mail,
Audience Member: Right?
Right, exactly. No, my question kind of dovetails to the previous one and that
is you know, is if there's a clear cut violation of the presidential oath, is
that usable in any court proceeding context?
Does it have any legal teeth? I mean, it's an oath. We take an
oath when we go, if we're in trial and we commit perjury if we violate it, but
is there an analog to the presidential oath? Thank you very much.
Benjamin Wittes:
Roger, you want to take that one?
Roger Parloff: Well,
there certainly is in Section 3 of the 14th amendment.
If you violate your oath by committing insurrection, you can
theoretically lose your job. And you're right to hold the job in the future. Of
course, we'll see if that one has any teeth. Other than that, it's supposed to
be impeachment. We've seen how far impeachment goes a couple times. So, Ben has
written a lot about the oath and the importance of the presidential oath so,
maybe I will defer.
Benjamin Wittes:
Yeah, I mean, I would say, look, the oath is something that as a general matter
lives in in one's heart. And the example that I always gave was, I, I disagreed
with George W. Bush about a great number of things. I never distrusted his oath
of office, right? That he meant, he meant to do the things he did in the
service of preserving and protecting the constitution, right?
There's a difference between distrusting somebody and
distrusting their oath or disagreeing with somebody or thinking somebody's a
lousy politician or a lousy president or member of Congress and distrusting
their oath. The oath itself is not an enforcement mechanism and has no
enforcement mechanism other than people's contempt for you.
Various things about the oath do have enforcement mechanisms.
Section 3 is a good example of that, a very specific one. The perjury statute
is another one, you know, not just for politicians, by the way. And, but
generally speaking, the oath is not an enforceable law. It's, it's part of,
it's one of those provisions of the constitution that is not self-executing. You
know, it requires, you know, implementing legislation of various sorts. Dana,
the floor is yours.
Audience Member: I am
just really struck by the idea that we're gonna have to figure out if people
believe Trump was the, you know, a driver of the insurrection. I, I just still
feel like this hasn't been decided. So I wanted your opinions on that, on that
thinking.
Benjamin Wittes: So
spell it out a little bit more for us. What do you mean it hasn't been decided?
Audience Member:
Well, it hasn't. It's, I mean, don't we still wonder in, in, in courts and in
cases if, if he's going to have to answer for his role. It, it just, I don't
feel like we have litigated that and that the court, the Supreme Court could
just say, we don't, we don't believe that this has been decided yet. And so
we're going to let that go forward before we rule on whether he can stand in,
in Colorado or in any of the other states.
Benjamin Wittes: So
this is a very deep point, a couple things about it. The first is that Colorado
actually did have a trial on this point. Now it was a civil trial over five
days, not a fully developed, but there is a factual record here that's in, that
is the factual record that underlies the finding.
Now I suppose the Supreme Court could take the position that,
you know, a state court judge in a five day trial does not, cannot create a
record that combined the entire country in terms of whether there was an
insurrection that didn't happen in Colorado, right? So, I suppose, like, that's
actually an interesting question. Who gets to decide the factual basis for a
disqualification?
That said you know, it's not like there isn't a developed
record on this subject. And one developed record, and it doesn't use the word
insurrection, is the January 6th indictment, which alleges that the federal
government can prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Donald Trump did a set of
things that, you know, one interesting question is, do the set of things that
have been alleged in federal criminal processes amount to insurrection?
I don't think we have quite figured out the methodology by
which we decide who has engaged in insurrection for purposes of Section 3. And
by the way, that’s because in, in, in 1867, it was not really a contested
matter whether somebody served in, in the Confederate Army, right, or was an
elected official of the Confederacy.
So I think there, there is actually a sticky point there about
like, okay, like, to me, it is obvious that January 6 was an insurrection of
some kind, but the obvious to Ben Wittes standard is not the standard that the
court should use. So, what is the standard that the Court should use, and who
is the fact finder that the Court, it's not gonna, the Supreme Court doesn't
find facts itself?
Right? So should it, should some state court judge in Colorado
be the one to find the facts? And if, by the way, that person finds the facts,
why should that move anybody in Mississippi? Why should they be bound by that?
So I think there's actually a pretty substantial set of issues there. And I
have not actually seen a lot of good discussion of it, like, other than to
float the question that I just floated, which a lot of people have done. I, I
don't, I don't really know what the, I haven't seen good hypotheses as to the
answer to it. Roger, do you have thoughts on that?
Roger Parloff: Yeah, I
think it's, it's fairly easy to define what insurrection means. It is very hard
to, to figure out who gets to decide it and, and where. And the problem with
the, at the Supreme Court is that the only decisions that will end this issue,
that will solve this issue, issue are the pro, are pro Trump decisions. If you
say you know, if you say that Section 3 doesn't apply to presidents, okay, that
ends all the litigation. If you say Section 3 isn't self executing, that ends
everything. If you say, no, Section 3 does apply and it's, it's, it's self
executing, then you affirm and, and Colorado is out.
And, but it doesn't really tell you what happens to the other
states. And there is a, you know, doctrine called collateral estoppel, and some
states can, you know, some plaintiffs will start trying to use that. But it's
probably not mandatory.
Benjamin Wittes: It's
also not obvious that collateral estoppel applies in one state based on facts
found by a different state under different state law, right?
Roger Parloff: Well,
it could be. There is different state law. And also there's the issue of, did
he get a fair hearing in the other state?
Benjamin Wittes: Exactly.
Roger Parloff: And so there's a lot of variables. So no,
it's much easier to wipe this out in a pro Trump way than to solve this. I
don't see a way that the Supreme Court can say, yes, this was an insurrection,
he committed it. He's disqualified.
Benjamin Wittes: The
most they could say is that it was not unreasonable to determine that he did
it. And if he did, and, and the facts reasonably found by the fact founder
amount to disqualification on, as a matter of law.
Roger Parloff: Yeah.
And I actually, I, there's somebody who has said this well on Twitter and I, I
can't think of his name and I am not, I'm trying not to steal his ideas, but I,
I can't think of his name. So, I will look him up eventually and I'll, I'll do
penance for the, for, for a while.
Benjamin Wittes: All
right. We are not going to get through everybody today because we are at time,
but we are going to get through Antti Ruokonen and Tim Crittenden so Antti,
because they're already on my talking queue. So, Antti the floor is yours.
Audience Member: Thanks,
Ben. Do you think SCOTUS understands the importance of a unanimous ruling on
the Section 3 issue, and would such a ruling even be possible from the current
bench? Please do recklessly speculate, at will. Thank you.
Benjamin Wittes: So,
I'm sure they do understand the importance of it, and I'm 100 percent certain
that the chief very deeply understands the importance of it and whether they
can get it is a completely different question.
I think, you know, they would all love to be unanimous on a
matter like this, but it's not necessarily, if it's everybody's second
priority, it won't happen.
Roger Parloff: I, I
actually, you know, unless, unless it's an affirmance of what the Supreme Court
of Colorado did, I don't know that I'm in favor of a 9-0 ruling. Because you
know, if it's gonna, I've read, you know, editorials by Professor Sam Moyn and,
and, and I guess Ruth Marcus maybe people that, that think, oh, we, we need to
preserve democratic government and this is not the right way to, to, to get rid
of Trump.
If, if you have a 9-0 ruling saying ruling for Trump, it is read
by his people as, oh, yet another hoax, yet another reason for revenge. There
was the Mueller hoax, there were the impeachment hoaxes, there's these criminal
hoaxes, and now here it is, 9-0. It was all a hoax.
Benjamin Wittes: As
one of the perpetrators of the Mueller hoax, the Russia collusion hoax, I stand
behind it. We, we hoaxed them.
Roger Parloff: Yeah,
so I, I think that would be a catastrophe. I think you need to have at least
three stand up and say, no, you know, Section 3 exists, and he violated it,
and, and, okay, you can, you can wriggle out of it. That's fine. I understand
why you're doing it. And there's even statesmen like reasons to wriggle out of
it, but you gotta be clear.
Benjamin Wittes: I
completely agree with you about this. The question was about whether the
justices understand the value of unanimity, not whether we agree with them. The
justices always want to be unanimous when they can, but I completely agree with
you, Roger.
The one thing I would say in the other direction is it would be
great if the adjudication were not a 6-3 Republican appointee versus Democratic
appointee thing. I would love to see, for example, Neil Gorsuch, who is a
committed originalist, stand up for the originalism of Will Bode and Mike
Paulson, right?
Like, you, you want to see complexity and apolitical judging or
nonpolitical judging. I think that's much more important cross ideological
mixes are more important than unanimity. Okay, Tim Crittenden, you get the last
question today.
Audience Member: Hey,
hurrah, thank you everybody. Yeah, so we've touched a little bit on Fort Pierce
and Judge Cannon. My question was mainly around CIPA procedures and what are we
to think about how Judge Cannon is handling things? Is it, with the, is she
dragging her feet necessarily or playing favorites? Or is, as we've been
educated by this crew, the CIPA process just so huge and encumbering and full
of all sorts of hurdles that things really are moving at a reasonable pace as
best as they can? Thank you.
Roger Parloff: I
think there's no question she already has rendered one ruling on one of the
easiest questions where nobody, nobody asked her to create a problem, and she
created one. You know, she has said that, you know, the government had turned
over 5,500 pages, all of the the, the 32 classified documents that are in the,
that form the basis for the first 32 counts to the, to the, to the lawyers.
And she said no, you can't do that with, you, you need to have
me review all of those under Section 4 procedures. We can't just, you can't
just hand them over and then have a protective order placed on them. I need to,
you need to go through, you know, and, and she created all of this work for
herself.
And now we're, we're, we're at Section, we're doing the Section
4 process and she wants, she's, she's drawn it out. But I, I really think the,
the, the hard part hasn't even arrived. The hard part is what do you do with
the jury and the public courtroom? And there are procedures that have been
developed in, in other circuits, primarily the Fourth Circuit, where most of
this happens, to deal with that problem. And I, I, I just feel certain in my
bones, she's going to reject all of those precedents and say you can't do it
and that that will force an interlocutory appeal. I do think there's something
unusual and she has a hard time ruling against the defendants on a lot of these
issues.
Anna Bower: Speaking
of Judge Cannon, I do have an answer to the person who asked the question about
whether she could render a verdict notwithstanding judgment and in, and if she
did and acquitted Trump, whether that would be appealable.
So if, if, if Trump's team moved before the verdict and she acquitted
before a verdict from the jury, then that would not be appealable because of,
you know, double jeopardy would be implicated. But if she reserved the decision
or if they renewed the motion after the verdict from the jury, then that would
be appealable. The reason being that you double jeopardy is not in play there
because you don't have to have another trial if the decision is reversed. Does
that make sense?
Benjamin Wittes:
Right, you just have to defer to the jury's existing verdict.
Anna Bower: Right, exactly.
Benjamin Wittes: That's
interesting. You're all great Americans. That's it for us this week. We will be
back next week. And remember, Happy New Year. It's a marathon, not a sprint.
The Lawfare Podcast is produced in cooperation with the
Brookings Institution, where I recorded not one, but two podcasts today before
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Our audio engineer this episode is the intrepid Anna Hickey who
just made it all happen. The Lawfare Podcast is edited by Jen Patja
Howell. Our music is performed by the one, the only, the Istanbul based Sophia
Yan, and as always, thanks for listening.