The Lawfare Podcast: Ask Us Anything About 2023
Published by The Lawfare Institute
in Cooperation With
Welcome to our annual “Ask Us Anything” episode, a hallowed Lawfare tradition. Every news alert in 2023 seemed to bring new questions. But fear not, because Lawfare has answers. Lawfare senior editors answered listener-submitted questions on the Israel-Gaza War, military aid to Ukraine, the Trump trials, gag orders against the former president, the presidential pardon ability, violence against elected officials, efforts to combat corruption, and more. What a year!
Click the button below to view a transcript of this podcast. Please note that the transcript was auto-generated and may contain errors.
Transcript
Anna Hickey: Why
won't the White House and Democrats do serious border security reform? Were
members of Congress directly invovled with planning the insurrection? Does
requesting a formal UN process open up Israel to complaints of war crimes
themselves?
Jim Norton: Why
hasn't Moss and Freeman sued for defamation?
Anna Hickey: Do you
think any of Donald Trump's trials will come to a conclusion before the next
election? What decisions might the Biden administration make differently as it
defends the integrity of U.S. elections and pursues its other obligations to
the American people? How do we tolerate a justice system that takes months and
years to prosecute cases? What are the obligations of defense attorneys
regarding reciprocal disclosure? Given what happened during Watergate, why does
it seem like the legal response to his apparent malfeasance was so muted?
Roger Parloff: If a person
is detained because of a bench warrant, can a president or governor use the
pardon power to free them?
Anna Hickey: If Trump
were to pardon himself, who would have standing to bring a case challenging a
self pardon? What are the implications of the Ukrainian hack on the Russian tax
system for cybersecurity globally?
I'm Anna Hickey. Associate Editor of Communications for Lawfare,
and this is the Lawfare Podcast, January 2nd, 2024.
Welcome to our annual Ask Us Anything episode, a hallowed Lawfare
tradition. Every news alert in 2023 seemed to bring new questions, but fear
not, because Lawfare has answers.
Lawfare senior editors answered listener submitted
questions on the Israel -Gaza War, military aid to Ukraine, the Trump Trials,
gag orders against the former president, the presidential pardon ability,
violence against elected officials, efforts to combat corruption, and more.
What a year. It's the Lawfare Podcast, January 2nd, Ask Us Anything
about 2023.
This question is from John Ford. Are there any updates on the
administration's alleged efforts to combat strategic corruption? There was a
lot of talk about the issue back in the Trump administration, but besides a
push toward a global minimum tax, we haven't seen much else since.
Natalie Orpett: This
is Natalie Orpett, Executive Editor at Lawfare. This is a great
question, John. The Biden administration has been talking about corruption as a
core national security threat since the very early days of his presidency.
Usually folded into that discussion is at least some reference to, quote
unquote, strategic corruption, which is the idea that states sometimes use
corruption as a tool of foreign policy. So in other words, the corruption is
not just for trying to get some economic benefit, it's for trying to pursue a
national interest or target international rivals. Usually when the Biden
administration has talked about combating strategic corruption, it has done so
in the context of talking about working with international partners.
It often references the need to prevent interference in
democratic processes in the United States and abroad, which of course is a nod
to the reason that this became such a focus, which was around the 2016 election
and concerns about Russian interference. It's difficult to assess how the Biden
administration is doing with respect to strategic corruption specifically,
because it's not always obvious what's strategic corruption and what's just run
of the mill corruption.
You know, someone may be paying bribes just because it will
make them rich, or they may be paying bribes because they're acting directly or
indirectly on behalf of their government to pursue some sort of national
interest. The only thing I could find in recent administration announcements
that was specifically about strategic corruption, said that the State
Department oversaw research on the topic and is planning to initiate a small
grants program to fund quote unquote anti-corruption learning products in 2024.
With respect to anti-corruption efforts more generally, I can
say there is a fair amount that's been done. There's actually a conference
going on this month in Atlanta. The U.S. is hosting a convening of the state's
parties to the U.N. Convention Against Corruption. So that may be an example of
the administration focusing on strategic cooperation, since it said it would
prioritize doing so by working with international actors for that purpose.
There have been a bunch of institutional changes within the
executive branch to make sure that resources are deployed effectively to combat
corruption, to make sure that it's getting adequate focus. I think it's safe to
assume that strategic corruption is a high priority within that broader
category.
So there's a new anti-corruption coordinator at state, a new
center at USAID, a bunch of programs to provide technical assistance to foreign
countries, partnerships with civil society and private sector actors. So on,
several agencies have used enforcement powers to recover money from corrupt
actors.
That includes $500 million in penalties and disgorgements under
the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act. One of the more concrete things that I think
is certainly worth noting is a new rule from the Treasury Department, which
will require certain companies to report information about their beneficial
owners.
So this is intended to close a loophole where individuals or
companies could hide ill-gotten funds through things like shell corporations or
other sort of convoluted ownership structures. So, the idea is that FinCEN will
know who the beneficial owners are, which is a way of uncovering potential
corruption and being able to investigate.
So the idea is knowing who actually controls or who actually
owns the company, even if indirectly, can help you uncover those bad actors and
hold them accountable. That one is not solely a Biden administration
initiative, though. It's actually implementing a law that Congress passed in
2021 called the Corporate Transparency Act.
There are plans to issue proposed rulemakings next year early
as well. One is to address corruption in residential real estate, where as we
know, a lot of oligarchs and kleptocrats. Park their money. Another is focused
on investment advisors, which I think is part of a strategy that developed
after the Panama Papers, which is to combat corruption by targeting its so
called enablers.
But thank you for asking about this. I think it's definitely
something to watch.
Anna Hickey:
Catherine Watkins asks, Judge Gorsuch's opinion upholding tribal sovereignty in
the Indian Child Welfare Act, ICWA, was a welcome surprise in an otherwise
difficult SCOTUS term. Were there any other decisions from the three Trump
appointees that were of a similar surprise, showing a willingness to break from
the expected conservative doctrine?
Quinta Jurecic: I'm
Quinta Jurecic. I'm a senior editor at Lawfare and a fellow at
Brookings. So let me focus here on a couple of cases that are really within the
core Lawfare issue set. First, I would like to point to Moore v.
Harper. This is the case that involves the independent state legislature
theory, under which the Constitution grants state legislatures a particular
degree of authority in administering federal elections within their states.
There was a lot of concern regarding Moore that the
Supreme Court would potentially embrace a variation of this theory that has
been championed by some on the right that would allow state legislatures a
pretty wide degree of authority to potentially, really disrupt election
proceedings. In ways that could not only raise concerns about the
administration of elections, access to the franchise, but also just, you know,
creating chaos in ways very similar to those which were used to create chaos
in, in 2020 and raise doubts about the integrity of the vote.
So it was a very welcome surprise when the court really slapped
down the most extreme manifestations of that theory in a 6-3 ruling. There is
an opinion written by Chief Justice Roberts, dissenting were Justice Thomas,
Justice Gorsuch joined in full, and Justice Alito joined in part. That 6-3
ruling you did have Justice Kavanaugh and Justice Barrett join in.
Justice Kavanaugh also wrote a concurrence. And I think what
that showed to me is that there was really a willingness of on the part of that
group of conservative justices, including Kavanaugh and Barrett, the Trump
appointees, to think about the potential negative consequences of this theory,
which I would argue in its most extreme variations is quite radical and quite
concerning. And to really push back against those extreme interpretations.
The second case that I'd like to point to is actually a pair of
cases. This is Gonzalez v. Google and Twitter v. Taamneh. These
were two cases that had to do with the legal, potential legal liability for
social media platforms for terrorist content that appears on their services.
The way that they interact is a little bit complicated but the short version is
that these cases really had the potential to kind of upend the internet as we
know it by opening social media companies up to a significant amount of
potential liability for material for which they previously hadn't been liable.
And that could have created genuine problems, I'd argue because
if you allow social media companies to potentially be held liable for, for
content on their services, they now have an incentive to remove that content.
And so there is a risk that even if you create liability for material that's,
you know, that's bad, that you don't want on there, the content at issue in
these cases was produced by ISIS, that you could really do violence to the, the
internet as we know it. And I think there was a lot of concern in advance of
these rulings that the conservative justices and potentially the liberal
justices would respond to a sort of rising cultural and political discontent
with social media platforms. And kind of slap them down in ways that could have
bad consequences for the internet.
I'm of course thinking particularly about right wing
conservative critiques of platforms as, you know, censoring conservative speech
and so on and so forth. Instead, what we got was a 9-0 opinion in Taamneh
that found that the platforms were not liable under the particular statute that
was at issue, the Justice Against Sponsors of Terrorism Act, and that kind of
allowed the justices to dispose of Gonzales in a way that allowed them
to kind of kick the really difficult question there down the road.
I think what you see in that decision and what really came
through at oral arguments was a genuine willingness on the part of all of the
justices to really grapple with these questions seriously in ways that were not
politically inflected much, if at all. If you were listening to oral arguments
in those cases, I think it would have been very, very difficult to guess, you
know, who was asking the questions, which president, you know, which justice
had been appointed by and what the political affiliation of those presidents
was.
It was really a genuine good faith effort by justices to
grapple with a seriously tough legal question that had big implications. And I,
I found that pretty hardening in terms of the ability and the willingness of
the court, at least in this case, to address these questions seriously and
without political blinders on.
Anna Hickey: This
question is from Antti Ruokonen from Finland. Why won't the White House and Democrats
do serious border security reform? It seems that that would take one of the few
substantive policy cudgels away from the Republicans and solve an actual
national security issue. Additionally, why isn't the White House and the Biden
administration constantly communicating about their strong support to Ukraine
and Israel?
Shouldn't there be a constant stream of Biden surrogates going
on Fox News and Newsmax talking about how much military aid to these nations is
making the U.S. stronger? Is this an impossible equation, or is the White House
simply not doing enough?
Molly Reynolds: My
name is Molly Reynolds. I'm a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a
senior editor at Lawfare.
The central question here is basically why haven't Democrats
compromised more and faster on changes to immigration law in order to secure
additional assistance for Ukraine and Israel? But wrapped up in that one
question are actually two distinct, but related ones. The first is why have we
reached a point where potentially massive changes to immigration policy are
seen as the necessary trade off to secure additional foreign assistance funds?
Here, the story is one of steadily declining support for
assistance to Ukraine among congressional Republicans, especially in the House.
Add in the fact that in September, when faced with the choice of avoiding a
government shutdown without admittedly limited funds for Ukraine or holding out
for additional Ukraine funding, but probably causing a shutdown the Senate,
most importantly, Senate Republicans took keeping the government open.
The removal of Kevin McCarthy as speaker soon followed. And
once Republicans finally installed Mike Johnson, he found himself unable to
pass a funding package for Israel out of the House without cuts to IRS funding
that are political nonstarters for Democrats. In short, the escalation to
border policy changes or no foreign assistance supplemental has been driven by
divisions within a Republican conference over these priorities as much as has
been driven by the immigration debate itself.
The second question boils down to how do we get to a point
where the on the ground situation vis-a-vis individuals seeking asylum in the
United States and otherwise entering the country as undocumented is so
politically potent that it is seen as a viable legislative hostage in these
negotiations?
The substance here is beyond my expertise, but I will say that
the last decade plus of attempts at changing immigration law, even around
politically sympathetic populations like the Dreamers or individuals brought to
the United States without documentation by their parents as minors,
demonstrates that changing immigration law is hard.
It was hard before President Trump. It was hard in the shadow
of his xenophobic messaging and harsh policies. And it has been hard during the
Biden administration. Writing new law is substantively complicated, and
building a durable coalition to pass something has proven elusive. But perhaps
more importantly, and especially because writing new law in this area is hard,
the president isn't a magician.
Or to use a reference popular with American political
scientists who also know something about comic books, he's not the Green
Lantern. He can be an important player in negotiations, absolutely, and making
clear that he's, what he's willing to accept is certainly central to deal
making, but legislative negotiations do not usually sink because the president
didn't try hard enough.
What's more, an aggressive public campaign in favor of
something can backfire as the president's opponents don't want to be seen as
supporting something he embraces. The current Republican coalition seems
especially vulnerable to making this pivot, suggesting that an all out PR
effort targeted at, say, Fox viewers wouldn't help matters.
The time I'm recording this, deliberations remain very much in
progress. Given that House Republicans have claimed, at least, that they would
only vote for something that goes even farther than what appears to be on the
table, it's not entirely clear that more compromise by Democrats or a more
aggressive push by the White House is what makes or breaks a final deal.
Anna Hickey: This
question is from Jared Freights from Texas. In 2022, the fate of the Afghan
people who aided the US was a major topic of discussion, but it seems to have
fallen by the wayside, at least publicly. Where does the program stand,
especially in light of Pakistan's stated intent to send back hundreds or
thousands or even millions of Afghans living in Pakistan, many thousands of
whom are likely eligible for the SIV program?
Scott Anderson: Hey
there, Lawfare Senior Editor, Scott R. Anderson here. Jared, thanks so
much for this question. A topic close to my heart, as it is to a lot of folks
who work at Lawfare and listen and read Lawfare. So, you know,
good news and bad news, as is always the case on this particular front. The
Afghan SIV, Special Immigrant Visa Program, that has operated as the main kind
of statutory vehicle for providing refuge to Afghans who worked with the United
States government in various capacities and their family members and associates
is still in place.
It was extended to the end of 2024 by the Consolidated
Appropriations Act enacted at the end of last year and they still have space in
the existing kind of visa allocations. You know, I think the total number
allocated after the, the bump up that was done by that Appropriations Act is
somewhere in the 35, 000 vicinity, a little bit north of that.
As of June 30, 2023, it's the last report I could find. The
State Department publishes kind of quarterly reports on progress on the SIV
program, the Afghan SIV program. It looked like about 25,000 visas had been
used, these SIVs, and about 13,000 remained available and they were processing
them, at least the clip of like 5,000 a quarter.
Although I'm not sure the math works when I was looking at a
few of these reports across quarters. So there may be some fudging or some
confusion there because the numbers didn't quite seem to line up as I was
looking at the prior quarters report. Regardless, the program is ongoing.
That's not to understate a lot of the challenges of implementing it now, the
challenges of Afghans getting access to it and particularly getting access to
the information that's required. As you noted, you know, obviously a lot of
Afghans are living in different corners of the world including in Pakistan
where some may yet be returned and then have to seek eligibility for the SIV
program. And notably the SI V program, it takes about a year, over a year right
now to get processed through it.
I do believe at least this was the way prior potential
expirations of SIV programs work that if you get your application and before
the expiration period, you know, you can still be considered kind of so long as
there are visas available. So, you know, people still have time to apply, but
it still takes time for that to run down.
I haven't heard any chatter about extending it this year,
although I, I can't say I looked out for it actively. But the fact that extends
till next year may mean that that's a debate we'll have over this coming year,
as people decide whether this program needs to stay open or whether this is a
community that can, whose needs can be met through other more conventional
legal vehicles. Regardless, hope that answers your question for you.
Anna Hickey: Amy
Mellai from Maryland asks about members of Congress and their involvement in
January 6th. Given what we know about Scott Perry's texts, Ronnie Jackson's
involvement, and other information that has come in bits and pieces from court
filings, what is your best guess about what happened that day? Were members of
Congress directly involved in the planning of the insurrection? And if so, will
any of them be held accountable?
Quinta Jurecic: I'm
Quinta Jurecic. I'm a senior editor at Lawfare and a fellow at the
Brookings Institution. This is a great question and I think it's really one of
the lingering issues that remain kind of unsettled about January 6th. We had
some early suggestions that members of Congress might have welcomed insurrectionists
in or given tours ahead of time to sort of help them case the Capitol.
We haven't really seen much further evidence of that. What we
know about involvement from members of Congress is really more in the way of
how they encouraged and helped coordinate objections to the electoral vote
count. The January 6th committee found, among other things, that 10 Republican
members of Congress attended a White House meeting on December 21, 2020 seeking
to pressure Mike Pence into upending the electoral count.
Those members included Jim Jordan, Scott Perry, Andy Biggs, and
Marjorie Taylor Greene, among others. And I think it's notable that the January
6th committee referred to Jordan, Biggs, and Perry to the House Ethics
Committee for refusing to comply with subpoenas about their conduct. The
committee also referred now former Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy for
refusing to comply with subpoenas, that was more regarding his communications
with Trump on the day of the insurrection rather than anything he did in
advance.
The Jordan, Biggs, and Perry communications that the committee
was interested in really had to do with giving credence to, encouraging
falsehoods about the 2020 election in advance of January 6th and in some cases
helping push particular avenues of seeking to somehow upend or block the
electoral count. The most detail we have may be about Representative Scott
Perry because Special Counsel Jack Smith has been seeking Representative
Perry's phone records. This has actually been held up in court for quite a while,
although a federal judge in D.C. recently ordered most of the materials in
question disclosed to prosecutors.
The main details of what we know so far indicate that Perry was
attempting to coordinate challenges to the electoral count in Congress and in
Pennsylvania as well. And most interestingly, I think, that he was coordinating
quite extensively with Jeffrey Clark, who of course was the Justice Department
official who would go on to attempt to oust the acting Attorney General and
himself become the Attorney General in an effort to kind of leverage the
Justice Department to back Trump's allegations of election fraud. And so I
think it's, it's quite interesting that Representative Perry appears to have
been involved in sort of coordinating with Clark and pushing that effort
forward.
Beyond that, I think it's really unclear. It's possible that we
may get more information as the prosecution of Trump in the January 6th case
unfolds. It's possible that we won't. And all this will remain sort of a weird
question mark around January 6th.
Anna Hickey: Kay
Landau from New York asks, Israel has asked the United Nations to investigate
Hamas's use of rape of Israeli women when it attacked Israeli settlements.
Israel has never recognized the ICC or the ICJ and refuses to comply with the
UN in the past. Did requesting a formal UN process open Israel up to be
investigated for complaints of war crimes themselves?
Scott Anderson: Lawfare
Senior Editor Scott R. Anderson here. Kai, thank you for this question on this
on this heavy topic. You are correct. Israel did at one point recently, I think
earlier this month, ask the United Nations to investigate, or more assert the
United Nations had not done enough to investigate, allegations of sexual
violence being used on October 7th that we've seen a lot of evidence come
forward or suggested they're quite credible allegations that Hamas was engaged
in pretty horrific forms of sexual violence as part of the attacks of October 7th.
Israel, did it suggest the UN should do more to investigate
this? It's worth noting, this is part of kind of an ongoing criticism that
Israel has pointed at the United Nations suggesting that they are more focused
on Israel, Israeli conduct in Gaza than they are on the horrible actions of
Hamas on October 7th. It's worth noting the United Nations Commissioner for
Human Rights Volker Türk did come out and say we want to pursue this
investigation. Actually said, I think as of December 7th, it's the last update
I saw that they were actually seeking access to their staff to Israel to
conduct an investigation into these attacks, particularly the allegations of
sexual violence.
I, I haven't seen any reporting that suggests whether that
access has been granted or not, but there is a stated interest by UN bodies to
pursue this investigation. Hopefully it will happen. But as you know, Israel
has a difficult relationship with the international community generally,
particularly with UN institutions.
It does, it's not that doesn't recognize the ICC or the ICJ but
it doesn't participate in the ICC much like the United States doesn't. And it
doesn't accept the compulsory jurisdiction of the ICJ. I don't believe, much
like the United States doesn't as well, actually. That said, both bodies are
exercising jurisdiction to substantial extent over the Palestinian territories,
Gaza Strip and the West Bank.
The ICC has an ongoing investigation there and has for several
years based on the consent of the Palestinian Authority and the PLO. The ICJ is
holding a hearing, I think, early this coming year and has opened a matter at
the request of the General Assembly for an advisory opinion on the conduct of
Israel in what, the Occupied Palestinian Territory since 1967 that would cover
a lot of these allegations.
So there are kind of these UN processes or international
institution processes happening that could cover potential war crimes
investigations. You know, we have also seen at times other commissions of
inquiry or other bodies set up by UN bodies to investigate different types of
allegations and these aren't always done with Israeli consent. In fact, they're
often done over Israeli objections, but you could see another body like that.
There, I don't think there's a direct one to one between, you know, opening up
Israel to investigations of these allegations of sexual violence. And then also
Israel having to open itself up to investigations for other conduct.
Maybe that would be part of the negotiations. Maybe the
investigators would say, well, we have to investigate the full picture. We
can't just focus on certain crimes here. Certainly that's a posture the ICC
takes when it's a certain exercise and kind of jurisdiction over a given
territory. And I wouldn't be surprised by that.
But you know, it does seem like there's a willingness to look
specifically into these incidents as they occurred in Israel on October 7th.
And again, whatever arrangement is worked out there won't actually have a
bearing on the ICC and ICJ processes that are already underway, nor do I
suspect much of a bearing on other inquiries that might yet arise.
Although there, again, there might be some, a little bit of, of
negotiation that happens there. Hope that helps answer your question for you.
Anna Hickey: S.
Margrave asks, from an analysis on the war in Gaza, I've gotten the impression
that Israel is operating with, at a minimum, a far looser calculus of
proportionality and distinction than what the U.S. uses or than that the Israel
previously used. My understanding is this is very difficult to prove other than
in outlier cases, as the legality is being decided inside a command room based
on internal legal analysis and subjective impressions of intelligence from
commanders and military personnel.
Could the U.S. hypothetically condition further offensive aid
to Israel on American JAGs being given access to where these decisions are
being made as a form or oversight? Or is that something no military would
accept? Or is that infeasible for other reasons?
Scott Anderson: Lawfare
Senior Editor Scott R. Anderson here to try and field this very complicated and
difficult question.
This has been a really hotly debated issue over the last three
months about how exactly Israel is approaching its lawful armed conflict
obligations in relation to proportionality and distinction, military necessity,
among other, the other variables that come into play in these sorts of
decisions. I think there's growing body of evidence that does suggest Israel
approaches these questions pretty differently than at least the United States
has and other countries like the United Kingdom have in similar sort of urban
combat environments. There are differences, of course Gaza is denser even than
Mosul and some other of the dense urban fights we've seen and Hamas is in some
ways more dug in although that can be a little I think contested as well.
You know, there are differences that people can say, oh, this
is why this is going better or worse. But you know even kind of by the Israelis
accounts you've seen a lot of civilian casualties. I think the official Israeli
acknowledgement was that they have about a two to one civilian to combatant
ratio by their estimate in this first phase of the operation.
If I recall correctly, the Israeli official quote on that, I
think this was in a Times of Israel article recently suggested that they
were hoping to, to get that ratio down in this next phase through a kind of
lower tempo and more targeted operations.
Israel also, you know, there's been fairly compelling evidence
that, in prior conflicts Israel takes a different approach to thinking about
infrastructure, thinking about dual use civilian and potentially militant
purpose equipment facilities, is willing to target things that might be
civilian facilities. In part perhaps credibly, perhaps somewhat dubiously,
because they are or could be used by militants, usually used by militants in
various ways.
There are very credible allegations Hamas certainly does that
to a certain extent, but there's also a reasonable basis for some people to
question whether that alone justifies the full scale of the sort of, of combat
or the scale of civilian devastation. It's really infrastructure devastation
that's been here.
So it's a hotly contested issue as to where the exact line is.
You know your question as to whether the United States could condition
offensive aid on on, essentially giving American JAGs the ability to do
oversight over these sorts of decisions, you know it could certainly. I mean
the United States isn't obligated to give assistance to anyone and could can
set all sorts of conditions on it. What I will say it, it. And it's worth
noting actually that the United States had an arrangement not entirely unlike this
in regards to assistance given to Saudi Arabia for the Yemen conflict.
You had American advisors embedded with targeting cells in the
Saudi UAE led kind of coalition, helping them pick targets you know, the, the
position was in part helping them pick targets to pick them in a way that's
more consistent with the law of armed conflict and to reduce civilian
casualties.
You know, people can test whether that's actually what they're
doing or how effective they were at doing it, but that was part of the official
justification. You know, I think realistically that's something Israel is
really going to buck at. Israel just doesn't have the same sort of relationship
with the United States.
That's a very close one, but a very different type of close one
than I think the Saudis and the UAEs do, than the Emiratis do, excuse me. And
this conflict in particular is heated and contentious, and there's already such
a clear divide between U.S. preferences and Israeli preferences on how the
operation is being pursued. That we've seen really since the earliest days of
this operation since we saw U.S. military advisors leave relatively quickly
and, and giving a strong suggestion to the media that, that the Israelis were
going a different direction than, than they had advised. So, you know, that all
combined makes me think this is probably politically not feasible.
Whether any military could accept it, you know, I think that's
the sort of thing that the United States would buck at. A lot of militaries
would buck at. I suspect the Israelis would buck at. But the Israelis have a
very serious, like, international law culture in their military, and they do
have lawyers kind of embedded very thoroughly throughout. So it's not that
they're resistant to any sort of dialogue international on around this. In
fact, Israel like really robustly engages in dialogue on these issues. And part
of the reason why I think a lot of people give them give them credit and a lot
of benefit of doubt around these issues because they do engage in dialogue on
them. On the flip side of that though, you know Israel also embraces some
idiosyncratic views of that law of armed conflict and you know, lawyers don't
always make the full range of decisions in terms of how rules lawyers develop
are implemented on the ground.
And so there's lots of ways that a serious commitment by a
legal cadre doesn't necessarily translate one to one to actually effects on the
ground in all cases. All that to say, it's a very complicated picture. And it's
an idea, again, not unprecedented, not unreasonable, legally feasible, but I
think politically something that, not something that the Israelis are likely to
welcome or the Americans are likely to want in part because it would put them
in this very difficult position. And particularly as tensions over this
conflict heats up and pressure to put conditions or limit U.S. assistance
grows.
Jim Norton: Yes, this
is Jim Norton from Charlotte, North Carolina. My question is, why hasn't Moss
and Freeman sued Trump for defamation? Thanks.
Anna Bower: It's Anna
Bower, Lawfare's Legal Fellow, and I'm here to answer the question, why
didn't Ruby Freeman and Shaye Moss sue Trump for defamation? Freeman and Moss,
of course, are the Georgia election workers who just won a $148 million verdict
for damages against Rudy Giuliani.
Giuliani spread false claims that Moss and Freeman stuffed
ballots and changed votes at the State Farm Arena where they worked the polls
during the 2020 election in Fulton County, Georgia. I do not know exactly why
Moss and Freeman limited their case to naming Giuliani as a defendant, but if I
had to guess, there might be a few reasons why they decided not to sue Trump
himself.
One reason, for example, might have something to do with
concerns that Trump could drag out the litigation and the expense of the
litigation by raising a number of arguments about various immunities or
privileges that relate to his capacity as the then president of the United
States. I certainly don't think that Trump would ultimately be immune from suit
in these circumstances, but I do think some of the privileges he could raise
could make it difficult to obtain some aspects of discovery in the case. So that
might be one reason why they decided to forgo suing Trump.
Additionally, I think that Trump's own statements about Freeman
and Moss came at a time after the false claims about them had already
proliferated and were quite widespread. So in terms of showing reputational
harm caused by the statements, it may be that Freeman and Moss strategically
chose to focus on the individual's or the news outlets who are the most
responsible for initially spreading the false claims.
At the trial, for example, Freeman and Moss argued that Rudy
Giuliani was quote, patient zero for the spread of the falsehoods. And they
still have an ongoing suit against the Gateway Pundit, which is a right
wing news outlet, which was the first to name Freeman and to spread the false
allegations about her related to the State Farm Arena video.
So with all of that said, it is important to note that as a
part of the suit against Giuliani, it was alleged that the defamatory
statements were part of a civil conspiracy against Freeman and Moss that was
carried out by Giuliani, Trump and others in the Trump campaign. So while Trump
wasn't a named defendant in the suit, there is an element of all of this that
involved a court finding that Trump was part of a civil conspiracy to defame
Freeman and Moss.
I am really hopeful though that during the new year, we might
be able to get Freeman or Moss's attorneys on the Lawfare Podcast. So
Jim, maybe this is a question that we can get an answer from when they come on
the podcast. In the meantime, that's my two cents about why Freeman and Moss
didn't sue Trump for defamation.
Thanks for the question.
Anna Hickey: This
question is from Mike Kobielski. Do you think any of Donald Trump's trials will
come to a conclusion before the next election? All his strategic delay tactics
seem to continue to work. His attorney's briefs constantly get denied for a
variety of reasons, but each takes so much time.
Our system certainly is demonstrating a great flaw in the lack
of speedy justice that can easily be obtained. I realize this is an up in the
air question, but from your perspective, are any of them on track to be
accomplished?
Benjamin Wittes: I'm
Benjamin Wittes, Editor-in-Chief of Lawfare. So I continue to believe
that at least one of the cases will be tried by the time of the election. First
of all, notwithstanding the delay for this Supreme Court appeal, I do believe
that the Supreme Court delay on the January 6th Washington case will be brief
and that we will have a trial, if not in March, then in April, May, June. And
that case is a case that will be tried and done by the time the, the election
happens in November.
I also think that there is a strong likelihood that the New
York criminal case, the one brought by State Prosecutor Alvin Bragg, New York
DA Alvin Bragg on the Stormy Daniels matter will be able to be tried by the
time the election goes forward.
I'm less confident of the Georgia Fulton County case.
Currently, we have a request from District Attorney Fani Willis for an August
trial date. Even if she gets that, it's not clear to me that it'll be done by
election day. And furthermore, I'm least confident in the ability of the
Mar-a-Lago case to go to trial by then. Not because it couldn't, but because
the judge, Judge Aileen Cannon does seem to be moving at a snail's pace.
But I think the likelihood is that two cases will be tried by
then. I do think the overwhelming likelihood is that at least one will.
Anna Hickey: These
questions are from John Halloran. First he asks, If the Supreme Court rules in
Trump's favor regarding absolute immunity from criminal liability for acts
taken while he was president, then they would also be recognizing that Biden
has the same immunity for the remainder of his term, correct?
As a follow up, he asks, if the question to Part 1 is yes, then
what decisions might the Biden administration make differently as it defends
the integrity of U.S. elections and pursues its other obligations to the
American people? Pre emptive detention of Trump, Kash Patel, Bannon, Clarence
and Ginny Thompson, suspension of voting in Texas and Florida?
As his final question, he asks, recognizing that a full
analysis of how the freedom from criminal liability should change the
president's behavior could require significant effort, which think tanks would
be best positioned to analyze and plan for the situation, as Heritage is
planning for the next Trump administration?
Benjamin Wittes: I'm
Benjamin Wittes, Editor-in-Chief of Lawfare. So it is true that if the
Supreme Court rules that Trump has absolute immunity from criminal for acts
taken in his capacity as president, that would also mean that Joe Biden has
immunity for acts taken in his capacity as president for the remainder of his
term, and actually, retrospectively, it would mean that all presidents have, as
an inherent feature of the presidency, whatever degree of criminal immunity the
Supreme Court affords to Trump.
That said, I wanna challenge the premise of the rest of your
questions. So the idea that you might therefore do preemptive detentions of
people like Trump, Kash Patel, or Steve Bannon, or suspension of voting, the
fact that you cannot be criminally punished for it doesn't mean the courts
would tolerate it as legal. So, for example take your example of a preemptive
detention of Donald Trump. Donald Trump would presumably file for a writ of
habeas corpus. That's not a criminal action.
It doesn't say, I want the person who's imprisoning me to go to
prison. It says, hey, I want to be freed if I am not legally detained.
Similarly, if you imagine the suspension of voting in Texas or Florida, that
would presumably be redressable not by criminal prosecution of Joe Biden, but
by injunctive relief and the correct claim that the federal government has no
authority to do that.
Similarly, as regards the third part of your question, which is
what think tanks would be best positioned to think through how to abuse
presidential power under Joe Biden, I don't think any think tank should be
engaged in that activity, and I don't speak for any think tanks, save my own
role at Brookings. And I would just say I can't really tell if the question is
a joke or not, but look, I don't think the Heritage Foundation should be
planning to the extent that it is illegal or improper activity on behalf of
Donald Trump in his next administration.
And I certainly would not countenance any organization
including any that I'm associated with planning for such activity over the
course of the remainder of any other administration.
Anna Hickey: Michael
Ryan from Ireland asks Benjamin Wittes, on the Jack Smith cert petition to the
Supreme Court, you seem to acknowledge that the reason for going straight to
the Supreme Court, rather than waiting for the D.C. Circuit to rule, is for
reasons of speed because of the election in November 2024. Is there not some
merit to the claims that Smith is thus being influenced by political
considerations, i.e. the election, rather than solely prosecuting the case as
if Trump was any other citizen who is not seeking electoral office?
A counterfactual being that if Trump was not running for
president, then this petition would not have been filed. Is this not a bad
thing?
Benjamin Wittes: I'm
Benjamin Wittes, Editor-in-Chief of Lawfare. So the simple answer to
this question is yes, you are right. We are all dancing around the reality that
political considerations are playing a role in, in this case.
And they, inevitably play a role for the simple reason that if
you don't get this case done and by the time of the election and President
Trump were to be re-elected as president, he could make the case go away. And
so the, the analysis just within the four corners of how do you litigate the
case so as to, from a prosecutorial point of view, so as to ensure that justice
be done, you cannot be entirely blind to the fact that one thing this case has,
that very, very few criminal cases have, is the possibility that the defendant
will become capable of causing the dismissal of the case or even pardoning
himself.
Now, that said, it is very improper, and here's where things
get sticky, it is very improper to acknowledge that, and to say we have to get
this case done by November because, you know, he could become president and win.
That would sound very political, and Jack Smith has been careful never to say
that. I do think that's something of an elephant in the room, however, and
everybody acts like it is understood that that is part of the equation, even if
they don't ever say that it's part of the equation.
And, you know, is there some better way that we should be
talking about this that's more candid on that subject? I don't know honestly.
We've never dealt with this problem before, and you know, it is genuinely
uncomfortable for everybody involved. The one party that is completely
unashamed of it, of course, is the defense.
In a bunch of these cases, Donald Trump has specifically asked
for the case to be pushed back beyond the election, and he does that with
varying degrees of, of directness with respect to the electoral season. I think
there's something a little bit gross about that. But, you know, defense
attorneys should make the arguments that are best for their clients.
And if they think that's an appropriate one to make here,
that's, appropriate for them. I do think for Jack Smith, the right answer is to
never acknowledge, and for Tanya Chutkan as well, the right answer is to never
acknowledge that you have your eye on the electoral calendar and yet also to
you'd be a fool not to have your eye on the electoral calendar.
You shouldn't say it out loud, but it's inevitable that you're
going to pay some attention to it.
Anna Hickey: This
question is from Michael Ryan from Ireland. On the podcast between Scott
Anderson and Ben Wittes, they discussed how Trump might get rid of a federal
case where he had been convicted. I do not believe the possibility of him
filing an appeal and ordering the DOJ not to fight that appeal was raised.
Is that something he could do, as presumably if the DOJ does
not fight the appeal, then the conviction is vacated? This would seem to be the
cleanest way of getting rid of the problem.
Scott Anderson:
Senior Editor Scott R. Anderson here. Michael, thank you so much for your
excellent question. It's a good question to say, okay, if former President
Trump appeals and then directs the Justice Department not to contest the
appeal, does that mean he wins? And the answer is, I don't think it necessarily
does. While generally it's true, if, you know, a legal proposition, legal
motion is uncontested, that often means that the person advancing it wins like
in the context of a default judgment.
That's not necessarily the case in the, in the context of a
criminal appeal. In the case of appeal, the burden is still on the movement,
movement, the person, you know, appeal or the appellant to actually prove that
whatever the threshold for appeal is for reversing the lower court's
determination, in this case, the criminal conviction, varies depending on the
issue, whether it's a factual or legal matter, matter, et cetera, et cetera, particularly
if it's a jury factual question, a very high threshold, they don't have to meet
that threshold.
So, it's not quite as easy to say that former President Trump
could say DOJ doesn't contest it, that he would automatically win. He probably
had a much better chance of winning, certainly. I mean, I think he could direct
DOJ to support his appeal, maybe, arguably, although I suspect you get a lot of
resignations and other you know, political factors that might make that harder
or unlikely.
But, you know, in a legal matter, perhaps he could do that or
at least fire people until he gets someone willing to do that. The other issue
here is that you probably, courts aren't unaware of the political context of
this sort of thing. And my guess is you would probably get them opening the
door to people filing briefs as interested parties at the amicus or perhaps,
you know, depending on the context, other sorts of intervenors in the matter to
make these arguments that the Justice Department might otherwise make as to why
the appeal is invalid or should be rejected by the court in line with relevant
legal standards.
So those arguments would still get in there. So, you know, I
think you're right, a hundred percent. As Ben and I note in our conversation,
lots of ways that Trump's control of the DOJ complicates the ability to, you
know, maintain any sort of accountability measure. But I still don't think it's
quite that easy to get rid of a criminal conviction once it's on the books,
because simply, you know, at that point, the court plays a strong role.
It's got a pretty actually meaningful standard of review that
appellate courts have to do in reviewing those convictions, and that's a high
bar to meet even if DOJ isn't willing to play along in defending the trial
court's determination.
Roger Parloff: This
question is the fourth question actually from Michael Ryan from Ireland.
He asks, purely an academic question on CIPA prosecutions, that
is Classified Information Procedure Act prosecutions. My understanding is that
sometimes the defendant's lawyer gets to see documents that the defendant does
not get to see. How does that work if the defendant is representing themselves?
So that's a great question. And you're right, as we've seen in
the Florida Trump case, there are all right now, Walt Nauta and, and Carlos de
Oliveira are not being permitted to see certain documents that their cleared
counsel are being permitted to see. And that is a common thing in CIPA
prosecutions.
I have not seen a case where this actually, the facts you, you
describe, happened. But I think, pretty obviously, the, the, for anyone who is representing
themselves, the judge can appoint what's called a standby lawyer, and usually
does. It's somebody that he has available there for them in case they want to
make an inquiry.
And for some other minimal purposes. And in, in that case, he
would have a, he would appoint a cleared, a counsel with security clearance, or
he would appoint counsel who would then apply for security clearance, which as
we've seen, doesn't take forever. And then presumably they would disclose the
documents to the standby lawyer.
Perhaps it would make the person reconsider whether he wants to
continue pro se. But and I'm sure the judge would be reminding him every 10
minutes of his right to, to have an appointed counsel, because judges do not
like pro se cases. But a great question. That's how I think it would be
resolved, but I don't actually know of such a case.
Thanks for asking.
Anna Hickey: Doug
Evans from Southern California has two questions. His first is, how do we
tolerate a justice system that takes months and years to prosecute cases,
especially as we face the potential of our democracy collapsing? Am I wrong to
feel that we should not tolerate this? And if so, why?
Natalie Orpett: This
is Natalie Orpett. I'm executive editor at Lawfare. Thanks for this
question, Doug, and I can very much relate to the frustration that is sort of
implicit in your question. My colleague Quinta and I wrote a piece back in July
2022 arguing that there was a lot of damage that was being done by the apparent
lack of urgency to investigate Trump's personal criminal liability for January
6th because people would lose faith in the criminal justice system.
So, you know, at this point, we know that DOJ got there. We
have federal indictments of Trump in two different places, but it took a long
time. And in the intervening years, it seems likely that a lot of people
concluded DOJ was either powerless or cowardly. Personally, I don't think
either is true, but I worried a lot about public perception because there
really is something to the adage that justice delayed is justice denied.
So all of that said, it's also true that criminal
investigations take time and then criminal prosecutions take time and they
really should. There's an enormous power imbalance that favors the government
and we have to have a system that takes that into account. So why do they take
a long time? I think it's actually worth explaining that a little at the risk
of boring people.
It is very boring. That's why TV shows about lawyers skip over
all the unglamorous stuff, but you know, criminal investigations, just figuring
out whether someone should even be charged with something involve things like
going to a judge to get warrants and then conducting interviews and then
reviewing documents, millions and millions of documents sometimes.
And then conducting more interviews and getting more warrants
and then designing a legal strategy and figuring out which laws apply, looking
at how courts have treated that in the past. And all the while it has to be
done very, very carefully so a defendant can’t later challenge the process or
the evidence that it produces.
So it may seem excessive sometimes, but you know, it really
doesn't take too much research or sort of walk through the history books to
find examples of really terrible conduct by law enforcement that was trying to
cut corners or abuse their power or was corrupt in some way. Law enforcement
and, and prosecutors have a lot of power, so the rules are there for a reason.
And then the prosecution itself, that's time consuming for a
lot of reasons. One of which is all of the procedural requirements that we've
implemented to ensure due process in our legal system. It's also the first time
that defendants have the opportunity to have anything to say in the matter,
right?
The law enforcement and prosecutors have been going around
building a case, doing a lot, going before a grand jury, putting everything
together. And until the defendant is actually indicted and arraigned, they
don't have anything to say about what has happened. So it's not just about
whether the defendant will have the opportunity to effectively convince a jury
that the government hasn't met its burden to prove them guilty.
It's also, I think, less appreciated, it's one of the only
mechanisms that we have to make sure that the government is acting lawfully
when it conducts investigations and prosecutions. If, you know, if prosecutors
and law enforcement thought that they could get away with cutting corners, some
of them would.
So they need to know, just for example, that if they obtain
evidence in a dubious way, the defendant is going to file a motion to exclude
the evidence and the government's going to have to explain itself to a judge.
So, you know, this probably all seems really hypothetical or maybe just beside
the point if you're thinking of it in the context of our democracy potentially
collapsing.
I think at the end of the day, it's a question of degree. You
know, how do you best balance a genuine and really probably unprecedented need
for urgency with the need to build, the need the prosecutors have to build a
strong case that will be able to actually result in a conviction? Because doing
that latter part is what takes so much time.
Anna Hickey: His
second question is, what are the obligations of defense attorneys regarding
reciprocal disclosure? Can they hide incriminating facts or evidence that
implicates their clients or potential witnesses? Can they advise clients or
witnesses to withhold a priori the disclosure of incriminating facts or
evidence?
If the answer to either is yes, how does this serve justice?
Natalie Orpett: This
is Natalie Orpett, executive editor of Lawfare. I fear my response may
be disappointing to you on this one, Doug, but I'll try to explain. So, as you
probably know, prosecutors are required to give defendants any exculpatory
evidence under a case called Brady v. Maryland. It's a constitutional
requirement, it's under the Due Process Clause, but the reverse is not true.
So as a general matter, defense attorneys have very narrow
obligations to disclose information to the prosecution. And they relate to
things like expert opinions or physical evidence that the defense is planning
to introduce at trial.
Some jurisdictions do have additional discovery rules. They're
often called reciprocal discovery rules, where defense attorneys are required
to turn over some additional information. In California, they have a specific
statute outlining what defense attorneys need to give prosecutors. Florida has
a requirement that if prosecutors ask, defense attorneys have to provide notice
of an alibi defense.
But those only apply in those respective jurisdictions. So
they're in state court in California, in state court in Florida. One thing
that's worth mentioning here, though, is the even though we are often focused
on criminal cases in federal court, the vast majority of criminal cases in the
United States are in state courts.
So the rules I just mentioned in individual state jurisdictions
have much more of an impact on the overall criminal justice system than it may
seem from first glance. And I just don't know enough about the rules in all 50
states to really get a sense of the range of disclosure rules or have a sense
of where defense attorneys may have the most or fewest obligations to provide
information to prosecutors.
It's also worth keeping in mind that the vast majority of
federal criminal cases end in plea agreements, like 98 percent of them. Which
means that for a good number of criminal defendants in the federal system, they
don't even necessarily get to the stage where disclosure of kind of evidence
would be on the table.
I'm not saying that's a good thing, but it's something to
consider here. In any event, the, the basic answer to your question is no.
Defense attorneys are not required to help prosecutors prove their case. That's
because all criminal defendants have a constitutional right under the Fifth
Amendment not to incriminate themselves.
There are definitely limits. Defense attorneys cannot ever lie.
They have a duty of candor to the tribunal as a matter of professional
responsibility, and they can be disbarred for not abiding by that duty. And
they cannot actively or affirmatively hide information from law enforcement or
prosecutors. At a certain point, if it's not protected by the Fifth Amendment,
then hiding information could become obstruction of justice.
So how does this serve justice? I don't have a pithy answer for
that, and I don't think there is one. I guess at a conceptual level it's
because we've designed our legal system around the principle that people are
innocent until proven guilty. We have an adversarial system. The, the theory is
that truth is found and justice is secured when two parties fight it out in
front of a judge.
Other countries have inquisitorial systems where the judge
conducts a kind of official inquiry and that is what is supposed to get to the
truth, but that's just not the system that we've chosen here.
Anna Hickey: This
question is from Nefarious Newt from Spoutible. From everything we've seen and
heard, President 45 is looking at some unprecedented convictions.
The question is, given what happened during Watergate, why does
it seem like the legal response to his apparent malfeasance was so muted? Is it
just a matter of so many judges he appointed?
Quinta Jurecic: I'm
Quinta Jurecic. I'm a senior editor at Lawfare and a fellow at
Brookings. I think I would dispute the premise of the question here a little
bit.
I'm not sure that the legal response to what Trump has done is
muted. It's certainly true that many people are frustrated by how long it's
taken. Of course, we're now heading into the 2024 election and Trump is now
really facing accountability in criminal court from actions that took place in
2021 or earlier.
But the court system, the criminal justice system, takes a long
time to move through. You know, these are investigations that needed to be
carried out carefully in order to bring the strongest case possible. That
doesn't mean that the Justice Department couldn't have been quicker in
conducting the federal investigations into wrongdoing by Trump, in both the Mar-a-Lago
case and the January 6th case.
But I do think that if you just look at the fact that Trump has
been indicted four times, twice in federal court. That's completely
unprecedented. He's now facing litigation attempting to bar him from the ballot
under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment on the grounds that he's not qualified to
hold the presidency as an insurrectionist.
He, of course, has been impeached twice. We're not even talking
about that. I think that you know, this is a case where the wheels of justice
grind slowly, but they do grind. I don't want to say, you know, he'll finally
be held to account and his opponents will see the accountability that they want.
But if you just look at how the legal system has responded in terms of the
criminal cases against him, I think it's actually pretty striking.
In terms of the questioner's point about judges that Trump
appointed, it is certainly true that to some extent, that appears to be shaping
the litigation against him. Of course, I'm thinking here about Judge Aileen
Cannon in Florida, whom Trump appointed and who certainly seems to be quite
skeptical of the special counsel's efforts in that case.
That said, you know, I don't think that the fact that Trump
appointed quite so many judges should mean that we think that, you know,
there's, there's no possibility of accountability. I think it's worth pointing
out that, you know, in a lot of the litigation in 2020, attempting to overturn
the election or throw sand in the gears of the election process, a lot of the
judges who rejected those efforts by the Trump campaign and by Trump allies
were Republican appointees, were Trump appointees.
So that I think is, is worth noting. It's also worth noting
that, you know, judges are only one set of actors here. We also have the
Justice Department and of course we also have the voters as well. So I think
it's, it's worth kind of dividing up those different elements of the political
system and thinking about them separately when we consider what accountability
means and how we seek it.
Roger Parloff: So anonymous
has two questions. What happens to the two Trump gag orders? One, once closing
arguments are over and Judge Engoron mulls over his ruling, does it stay in
full force and effect until the ruling is issued? And before getting to two,
I'll just address that part of it. Yes, the gag order in his case stays until
his ruling.
Because the idea, in that case, the order is pretty narrow and
it really focuses on court personnel and especially his law clerk. And the idea
is that these statements he's making are harassing her, causing others to
harass her and interfering with her work. So as soon as they're done with, as
soon as his verdict comes out, her work on this case is over. And that would
have to be lifted as a First Amendment matter.
But if he persists then there might be other ways of other
forms of court order that might be available or indeed criminal prosecutions
for harassment. With the second part of the question is, Judge Chutkan asserts
jurisdiction over her protective orders while the stay is in effect to decide
the interlocutory immunity appeal in order to safeguard the integrity of the
proceedings, but she admits there is little precedent or case law to instruct
her and that the defendant could raise this issue in appeal.
If not overturned, would the protective orders remain in effect
however long the appellate court and/or SCOTUS take to rule on immunity? And
the answer is, as, as you suggest, the answer is yes, because the goal is to,
and you're right, as long as she, she was uncertain whether she had this power.
And so we'll have to see if the D.C. circuit or even the Supreme Court gives
any other guidance, but she is going to assume that she has that authority
because as you say, to protect the integrity of the proceedings.
So, yeah, it will stay in effect and it's because otherwise he
could be, if this does go back to trial, he could be intimidating witnesses the
whole time. And, and so he could do lasting damage, for instance. So, that's
that's the theory.
This question is from Peoria Bummer. And the question is, if a
person is detained because of a bench warrant, can a president or governor use
the pardon power to free them? What if someone has detained, was detained by
the sergeant at arms for contempt of Congress? Basically, I'm wondering if
pardon powers work, if a person is imprisoned, but there's not technically a
criminal charge.
So, that's a great question. A bench warrant, the bench
warrants I'm familiar with are actually pursuant to criminal charges. There
will be an arrest. A warrant filed, and somebody will have missed a court date,
and a bench warrant is issued for their arrest. They'll be out, they'll be out
on bail, and a bench warrant will be issued. So there yes, whoever the, you
know, the governor or the president depending on if it's a state or federal
government, could pardon them.
But you're right. There are other warrants there that are
pretty rare. There's a material witness warrant that's possible in extremely
rare circumstances where there's a crucial witness and you think they're going
to flee, you can detain them. And I assume this might vary state to state, but
certainly in the federal system, I, I wouldn't see, see that the, I don't think
the president's pardon power reaches them.
And it might I, I don't know about the states that might vary,
as I say, state to state. Similarly with the sergeant at arms, I'm almost
certain that the I mean, the president certainly would have no jurisdiction.
That's a different branch. Couldn't pardon. And I also think that technically a
contempt of Congress is civil, even though you can be, there are civil
contempts where you can go to jail.
You know, it's not the contempt of Congress that has matured
into a federal prosecution, like the prosecutions of, of Steve Bannon and, and
Peter Navarro. But there are civil contempts where you could say, put somebody
in jail saying, if somebody is refusing to testify, you could find them guilty
of civil contempt, put them in jail, and say, you can come out as soon as
you're ready to testify.
In other words, they say that the keys are to the cell are in
your mouth, they say. So, there again, I don't think anyone would have a pardon
power. But those are very interesting questions and that's the best I can do
with them. Thank you.
This is a question from Richard Klein. He asks, my question has
to do with the collegial culture of district court judges and the like.
I'm thinking particularly about Judge Cannon down in Florida,
but in general. Do circuit and district and other groupings of judges convene
to discuss cases in progress? Do they meet and assess possible issues
encountered or looming that might affect a particular judge on a particular
case? If a judge was unsure of a specific legal issue and how to handle it in a
case, would or could they reach out to their colleagues on the bench to seek
informed counsel, experience, etc.? Or are they isolated once assigned to a
case and just have to do the best they can?
So this is a really good question and I wasn't sure of the
answer, so I emailed a couple judges I know, and one of them got back to me in
the requisite time frame. And so, I'll read portions of what he wrote. He said
only infrequently, and then only casually over lunch, for example, do district
judges discuss their cases with each other.
There is nothing whatsoever inappropriate about their doing so,
but as a practical matter, it is usually all but impossible. First, the
district judges, even within a particular state, are not typically located in
even the same cities and towns, let alone in the same building, as they are in
D.C., in fact. We do have a lot of district judges in D.C. Second, so that's an
unusual situation.
Second, only if they have served on the court together for many
years, do they know each other well, personally.
Third, they are exceedingly busy in trials most of the time and
have little time to discuss their cases with anyone other than their law
clerks.
Fourth, because they are presiding over different trials of
entirely different matters, criminal and civil, other judges would rarely be
able to intelligently discuss a case with one of their colleagues. And I'll
just, this is my own voice now, what he means is you'll quickly get into such
detail that you, it would be quite a coincidence if some other judge really had
ran across the particular problem you're running across.
Then he continues, contrast this with the Court of Appeals,
where at least three judges are deliberating on the same case at the same time.
And then of course they're supposed to discuss it with each other. District
judges don't have the time to bring a colleague up to speed on a pending trial
for the purposes of seeking his or her advice.
On the other hand, he acknowledges, I asked as a tricky, as a
follow up, wouldn't it be tricky for a district judge to talk to an appellate
judge since the appellate judge might later have to sit and review? And he
said, and he said indeed, yeah, it is trickier. So he says my hunch is that
even if the district judges had the time and opportunity to discuss a case with
their appellate colleagues, they might hesitate to do so for the reasons you
suggest. But that's, that's the answer and I was interested in it because I
didn't know and I hope that you are. Thanks for asking and for reaching out and
hope that helps.
Anna Hickey: This
question is from Alejandro Gonzalez. If Trump were to pardon himself, who would
have standing to bring a case challenging a self pardon? Presumably, a Trump
Justice Department would not do so.
Scott Anderson: Lawfare
senior editor Scott R. Anderson here. Alejandro, thank you so much for your
question. It's a tricky one, a really hard one. One that led me to digging a
little bit to think who would have standing to challenge a self pardon. And the
answer is, I'm not sure a lot of people would.
I'm not aware of any case or any clear legal theory that would
allow, you know, any sort of private party to challenge a pardon because
there's no real legal entitlement to serving out a sentence of a third party,
you know. It'd be different if there's like some sort of giving an award or
some sort of compensation directly to a third party.
That's not really the case when you're talking about a criminal
conviction, right? Obviously, they can be made to make restitution. Then you
might have more of an argument. But here I'm, I'm not sure that really holds.
There is case law that says a prosecutor can challenge the, an improper pardon
or the terms of which a pardon was offered or the scope of it.
But I think you're right. A Trump DOJ presumably would not do
that, do so. But I do think the real risk here is that a Trump DOJ won't be in
place for the full duration of whatever sentence or whatever potential you
know, risk of, of, of indictment until the statute of limitation runs out, former
President Trump might be under in this hypothetical.
You know, former President Trump can only be in office one more
term for another four years, barring something changing the Constitution. And
if that's the case, then a lot of allegations and crimes might extend past that
period or convictions might extend past that period.
There's also the possibility that there might be an argument
that certain of those timelines would toll while there was an improper pardon.
And you know, I don't know this issue well enough to know for certain. But I
suspect the real risk here is that if there were a self pardon, the real person
would stand standing to challenge will be the Justice Department under a
different administration.
Or maybe there might be an enterprising U.S. Attorney that
could insulate themselves enough and avoid getting fired long enough to do
this. But I kind of doubt it. I think it really comes down to a new DOJ under a
new president. But that is a substantial risk and a reason why self-pardoning
may not be the kind of easy out that some people think former President Trump
thinks it might be.
Roger Parloff: So,
Ramey in Oregon has this question. I am appalled by the threats against elected
officials, etc. Who is responsible for stopping the threats and why does it
seem we rarely hear of prosecutions?
So, in the, with the federal judge, like Judge Chutkan, the U.S.
Marshals probably have the initial job of protecting her and other judges. And
if there's a problem, they'll get the FBI involved and federal prosecutions can
occur, as you may know. You remember Judge Chutkan was threatened. She got a, a
voicemail left for her very soon after the Trump case before her, the federal,
the criminal case was filed August 5th, 2023. Abigail Jo Shree called her and
left a threat in the evening.
And she was arrested and charged with a federal charge of interstate
threat. She was from Texas. But, you're right, it doesn't happen very often.
Probably two hurdles. One is figuring out who it was that called and tracking
them down. This particular woman didn't take many precautions, so her home
phone was, number was on, you know, captured on Judge Chutkan's phone, and the
FBI could easily pursue her.
Many people take more precautionary measures. The other problem
is that there are hurdles to, First Amendment hurdles to bringing threat cases.
You need to what's called a true threat. And in fact, the Supreme Court just
ruled on that this last term in Counterman v. Colorado. So you'll have
a, in that case, you had a statute that makes it a threat to Say things that in
a manner that would cause a reasonable person to suffer emotional distress, and
that does cause emotional distress, and the court ruled that was not enough, you
need a subjective element as well some recklessness. So, she has to, you have
to also prove that the person who did it, quote, consciously disregarded a
substantial risk that his communication would be reviewed as threatening
violence.
So, it's a, it's some hurdles. So I think it's the combination
of those two things to, that is the reason you don't see many prosecutions.
Thank you.
Anna Hickey: This
question is from Dennis Donnahue. What are the implications of the Ukrainian
hack on the Russian tax system for cybersecurity globally and the Russia
Ukrainian war?
Eugenia Lostri: Hi,
I'm Eugenia Lostri, Lawfare’s Fellow in Technology Policy and Law. On
December 12th, the Ukrainian Defense Intelligence Directorate claimed to have
carried out a successful hack of Russia's tax system and of a Russian IT
company that operates the Federal Tax Services Database. The Ukrainian
statement includes several claims.
That these two cyber attacks allowed them to completely destroy
the agency's infrastructure, eliminating the configuration files that ensured
the functioning of the Russian tax system. They also claim that the attacks paralyzed
the internet connection between the agency's office in Moscow and its regional
branches.
Now, according to Ukraine, the Russians have been unsuccessful
in restoring service, and they anticipate that the tax system agency's work
will remain paralyzed for at least a month. And again, per this statement, they
will never fully recover from the attack. Although the claims have not been
verified and the Russian government has been silent about the hack, it is still
useful to unpack some of the hack's implications.
Although it is not the first time that the Ukrainian Defense
Intelligence Directorate has taken credit for a cyber operation against Russia,
this is highly unusual. When we look back throughout the conflict, the cyber
actors that are more likely to claim that they have conducted specific activity
are hacktivists.
So, it is relevant to note that Ukraine is, at least in some
cases, taking responsibility for cyberattacks. Another issue is that the
Ukrainian claim is not just that they were able to access the Russian system,
but rather that they destroyed data. This makes the cyberattack pointedly
different from, for example, a cyberespionage operation through which Ukraine
could have attempted to gain information about Russia through the tax records.
And that raises a few issues. On the one hand, the destruction
of data raises one of the big pending questions in international law when it
applies to cyberspace. Is data an object under IHL? As Dr. Kubo Mačák discusses
in his own analysis of this hack, there's a wide range of views on this. And
depending on what answer you're most compelled by, the legal assessment of
whether data is a protected civilian object will change as well.
While some may say that the data is not a material thing,
others will argue that the grave harm that its destruction can cause to
civilians requires that we use an updated lens to answer the question. Now, the
implications of that answer are important, because they will also help us
determine if the tax system infrastructure is a lawful, valid military target.
The Ukrainian statement is not explicit about whether they
understood this as a military or a civilian target, or even what the military
objective of the operation was. As Mačák points out, it's incidents like this
one that will push the international community towards one of very different
interpretative approaches.
And so the significance of this operation extends beyond the
specific conflict and is instead that it will help shape our future
understanding of the role of cyber operations in conflict and what is
permissible or not.
Anna Hickey: The Lawfare
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