Lawfare Daily: Iran Will Retaliate in the U.S., and We May Not See It in Time
In this episode, Lawfare Public Service Fellow Troy Edwards joins Lawfare Senior Editor Michael Feinberg to discuss Iran’s history of drawing from a robust retaliatory toolkit and international proxy network to extend its reach around the world, including in the United States. Reviewing Iran’s recent attempts at retaliating against the U.S. after the last major escalation in U.S.-Iran tensions—the U.S. drone strike killing IRGC-QF Commander Qassim Soleimani in January 2020—Troy and Mike discuss what Iran could do now after Operation Epic Fury. Only this time, they survey the current administration’s damage done to the national security apparatus that may have us unprepared.
This episode builds from Troy Edwards’s piece with others that can be found on Lawfare: “Iran Will Retaliate in the U.S. We May Not See It in Time.”
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Click the button below to view a transcript of this podcast. Please note that the transcript was auto-generated and may contain errors.
Transcript
[Intro]
Troy Edwards: These
litigating components are developing their own identities over the last 20
years, particularly in a post-9/11 threat landscape, and the leadership there
was doing a phenomenal job at developing a culture of both excitement and
aggression, leaning it forward, and dispersing across the country to lead U.S.
attorney's offices and help AUSAs navigate this classified information space, in
this hyper-specialized, for an adversary space.
Michael Feinberg: It's
the Lawfare Podcast. I'm Senior Editor Michael Feinberg, and today I'm
speaking with Lawfare Public Service Fellow Troy “LT” Edwards.
Troy Edwards: To lose
all of that is to not only put us at risk now when we face a heightened threat
risk from our conflict with Iran. But it's also to put us at risk moving
forward because it's now losing progress at developing that culture and
adjusting with the ever-malleable threat landscape that exists.
It's gonna be a long time to pick that back up and start
rebuilding.
Michael Feinberg:
Today, we're discussing his new article, which talks about the past, present,
and future of the conflict between the United States and Iran previously
consigned to the shadows and now in the open.
[Main Episode]
We are here today to discuss your recent article, “Iran Will Retaliate
in the U.S. We May Not See It in Time.”
The very title itself is a little ominous, but I suspect that
was the intention, and we're going to get to why you think that is the case
that Iran may strike the U.S. in some form or fashion, and we may not be able
to get ahead of it. But before we really delve into that argument, I was hoping
you could give a sort of overview of what you understand is the history of Iran
as a state sponsor of both terrorism and sort of malicious cyber activity.
Troy Edwards: Yeah,
of course. So thank you for having me. The gistory of Iran is what actually
prompted some of the concern here because of its unique focus on extending its
reach and engaging in external operations around the world. So, my last two
years in the Department of Justice was focusing on Iran's weapons smuggling
during the time of the military and terrorist attacks and the Red Sea in 2024
and 2025.
And so knowing that Iran has historically extended its reach by
developing proxy relationships with militias and terrorist groups in the Middle
East led me to be concerned that, you know, they're gonna continue to do that,
but at a time when close colleagues of mine and yours and people around the
country and our national security apparatus were being fired or forced out.
So that's what prompted the kind of deep dive here. The history
extends back to the founding of the, or the revolution in 1979, 1980 timeframe.
And then if you look at a really useful tool, Matthew Levitt has an interactive
map available that allows you to see the history of Iranian external operations
and filter by the countries they reached out to, the countries impacted by it
and the timeframe around the world, you see a pattern emerge in that dataset—which
is developed extensively by opensource information.
This pattern is a bimodal spike in external operations from
Iran. One is around 1979, 1980 timeframe in the founding or after this
revolution, and that also had an impact on the United States, including one
successful assassination in the Maryland area, and then another spike in the
last five years during the most recent escalation in U.S.-Iran tensions. After
the Trump administration engaged in a drone strike that successfully killed General
Qasem Soleimani, who led the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force,
which is the military organization out of Iran that specializes in these
external operations. And so that, that kind of lays out this history of a, of
this spike in two different timeframes.
It's that latter timeframe that gave me pause to kind of dive
in and see. What is a more recent reflection of what Iran's capabilities are,
if we, and what do we face from, you know, moving forward.
Michael Feinberg:
Alright, so given that history and given the animus that has existed between
Iran and the United States since ‘79, and particularly among the other spike
you mentioned as well after the U.S. led targeting of a high ranking IRGC
member, what have been the major cases that stand out to you that the Justice
Department has prosecuted that really illustrate how dangerous Iran's use of
proxies for global reach is to the United States?
Troy Edwards: Yeah,
so before diving into the DOJ cases, I wanna be clear about the narrower scope
of what I focused on in this piece. Iran obviously has the capabilities to
engage in a conventional response in the region, and we've seen that play out
after the beginning of Operation Epic Fury. Iran has these ballistic missile
and anti-ship cruise missile components that they're able to use in the region
and engage in their own military strikes.
We also saw that after the strike of Qasem Soleimani in January
2020. Within days, Iran attacked a military base in herbal that I think led to
some casualties of military servicemen and women. And so there is that category
of conventional response. Take that, set it to the side.
What I focused on was this less, less conventional, more
asymmetric response that Iran is known for, coupled with its long-term memory
and its willingness to engage in retaliation long after an incident that
prompted this anger, and that's what we saw play out in the last six years
since the strike on Soleimani, right? We saw a number of DOJ and FBI foiled
plots that seemed tied to retaliating against this strike against Soleimani.
And so a few that stick out in my mind, one is this case on Mariam
Thompson, who was the defendant. And the reason sticks outta my mind is it was
within days of the Soleimani strike in January, 2020 that this Lebanese
individual, that Mariam Thompson, who was a contract linguist in the Department
of Defense, had been interacting with since 2017 and allegedly engaged in a
romantic relationship remotely with.
It was within days that this Lebanese individual contacted her
soliciting information specifically on human assets that helped America target Qasem
Soleimani, photographs, names, information, and that stands out to me because
of the speed with which Iran started acting and its reach to collect actual
intelligence from United States individuals that may have access to it.
And they were successful. Mariam Thompson successfully passed secret
documents, national defense information that revealed certain human assets
around the world that may or may not have helped the United States, but passing
it nonetheless just shows the successful reach Iran had within days.
Another one that sticks out in my mind is Naji Zindashti, which
was about a year later. January of 2021. The reason it stands out is because it
was a different flavor of proxy that Iran clearly has developed over time. That
is less the traditional militia and terrorist groups in the Middle East region
because Zindashti, a year later ends up recruiting and paying Canadian Hell's
Angels members and—
To be fair, maybe it's my ignorance, I wasn't aware that there
was a Canadian element of the Hell's Angels.
Michael Feinberg:
They are actually a criminal organization with global reach, believe it or not,
and this is not the only case of which I'm aware, in which Hell's Angels or
other outlaw motorcycle gangs have been willing to work for fairly nefarious
foreign actors in exchange for money or favors.
Troy Edwards: Yeah.
It's just, it shouldn't have surprised me. It did.
And, but it, what also surprised me is Iran's willingness to
connect with these groups that they likely have less control over, and yet they
did successfully and had two members of the Canadian Hell's Angels travel into
the United States with a goal of killing an Iranian dissident in I believe the
Maryland area and this dissidents spouse, and look more than when we went into
in the piece.
There is a gruesome side to this. The Iranian handler's
communicating with these Canadian Hells Angels in an effort to make the deaths
gruesome and to make a point in the national public that this Iranian dissident
had in some way violated an Iranian code, right? And by stepping out, Iran
needed to suppress that voice. It's reflective of two things that stood out to
me, one that I've already mentioned, which is this expanded network of local
and organized crime that Iran is willing to tap into, which I think extends its
reach considerably in the United States.
But two is Iran's willingness to engage in this transnational
repression at a time when they are also attempting to retaliate against the
United States. Folks to them that they view are speaking out against the
Iranian regime, they must silence. And I suspect that there, there is some
argument to be had that Iran views that as a domestic problem, not an
international problem. To an American lens, this is an international problem.
This is Iran's reach into the United States and particularly harm, potential harm
to American citizens.
So the third one that sticks out to me are the more, is a more
recent one. Which is this Asif Merchant case that just went to trial and had a
defendant convicted for material support to terrorism and a couple other
charges.
Merchant more recently in 2023, allegedly was sent by the
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Again, this designated foreign terrorist
organization and highly skilled subset of Iranian military—
Michael Feinberg:
Yeah, and we should actually pause to point out the IRGC is one of the more
unique organizations that the U.S. operates against in the national security
sphere because it is the only organization that is an intelligence and security
agency for a foreign country that is simultaneously listed as a foreign
terrorist organization by the State Department.
There is no other country which has that very dubious honor.
Troy Edwards: Right.
And it makes it a complicated target for the American national security
apparatus because it can be viewed through the lens of an intelligence
apparatus that you should counter, but it's also a terrorist organization that
you should counter.
And both of those, as you know right, require very different
approaches and skill sets. And we'll get to that in a little bit about where
that skill has gone from the Bureau. But when you approach the IRGC, you are
approaching an agency that is highly skilled at doing what it does, which is
inflicting terror around the world.
And you know, some counter to this may be that isn't at the
point that is strikes on Iran have weakened the IRGC considerably. And I'm not
gonna comment on that because I'd be speaking out of turn. But what I will say
is the IRGC’s networks that it's developed over the last 40 years are precisely
for moments like this where Iran wants to have this reach and these folks
planted around the world.
And that brings me to this Merchant case where in 2023,
allegedly the IRGC and the jury agreed with this, the IRGC had tasked Merchant with
traveling to the United States to collect a network of assets that could work
for the IRGC, but remain in the United States. And that should give us pause
because now that's an entity, a state sponsor of terror, that we are engaged
with in a kinetic campaign.
And so we should be worried that Iran may, you know, use this
or deploy this weapon that they've developed over the years. And in 2024, Merchant
was then tasked with coming back to the United States. And connecting with,
again, this example of local and organized crime. He connected with who he
thought were New York mafia members—and those I did know existed—and he, unfortunately
for him, right—
Unfortunately, for the United States, we had a national
security apparatus in law enforcement in place that those folks were actually
undercover law enforcement officers who were able to track intelligence coming
from Iran and sources from Iran likely from the outside looking in at the
descriptions from the DOJ and know that they had to infiltrate this individual
who was here to, what he claimed was attempt to kill political leaders
including President Trump.
And so those three cases really stand out to me as an example
of both intelligence collection and potential harm and the extended reach that
Iran has around the world, including in the United States.
Michael Feinberg:
Alright, so you alluded to something that is gonna touch up on our own personal
situations tangentially as well, which is that the national security apparatus,
of which you and I were both apart until very recently, might not have the same
resources that it used to when the cases you mentioned were originally
investigated and prosecuted.
I mean, I remember when the Thompson case was going on. You
were at DOJ, I was at the FBI's Washington Field office. That was a five-alarm
fire. And our respective agencies, I know mine was technically a part of yours,
but we don't like to admit that.
Troy Edwards: You
have your own email addresses.
Michael Feinberg:
Yeah. Our respective agencies were able to surge resources to that case in a
way that frankly, I don't know is possible right now. So I was wondering, if
you could sort of talk about the part of your piece where you elaborate what
has happened to the agency's writ large that would normally be tasked with
combating these sort of activities.
And can we also sort of zoom in on a more granular level with
what has happened to the specific personnel who would normally be tasked to
deal with these matters?
Troy Edwards: Yeah.
Yeah. So on a systematic front, well, first of all, so those threats that we've
talked about here in the beginning, those all capture the first half of the
title of this piece that Iran will retaliate in the United States.
And that was intentional because if we are to use, as we all
do, right, an intelligence collection and prosecution efforts, we use history
as our guide. If we are to believe the data coming out of these five years
after an escalation in the strike against Soleimani, then we are to think that
Iran is both capable and willing to retaliate by reaching in the United States.
The second half of this title, stating that we may not see it
in time is supposed to do two things. One, it's supposed to qualify it because
there still are dedicated men and women who are serving our national security
apparatus that we'll talk about how they're distracted and stretched thin. But
it's also to raise a point that we still may be unsuccessful even though we're
qualifying and we may be unsuccessful because of exactly what you're saying
here, that systematically and individually we have had our national security
apparatus gutted by this administration. So from an institutional perspective,
just on these cases alone, it involves FBI, it involves DOJs, National Security
Division, and CES and CTS, two of the litigating components.
Michael Feinberg:
Could you spell out what those acronyms refer to?
Troy Edwards: Yeah,
sure. So the CTS acronym refers to the NSD’s Counterterrorism Section, which is
a litigating component out of that division that focuses on terrorism matters
around the world and runs those organizations or leads them by helping the U.S.
attorney's offices with their expertise.
And then CES, the Counterintelligence and Export Control Section,
which focuses on the counterpart to the national security threat, the
espionage, the counterintelligence, which are two different things as you well
know, and foreign adversaries on U.S. soil.
And so those two sections in the National Security Division
have been gutted. The Law and Policy section of the National Security Division,
which is more focused on creating this inter-agency relationship between DOJ
and the National Security Council, that has been gutted by almost two thirds.
Then there's the Civil Rights Division, which I think fewer
people think about when they think about the national security apparatus, but
it's important to remember that their portfolio of hate crimes investigations
is really important because they've developed critical sources around the
country and around the world in insensitive demographics where they can sense
whether or not something is going to happen to a particular group of people and
here, particularly relevant Jewish individuals across America, as we've seen in
one attack already on a synagogue after the Operation Epic Fury began—
And then there's the law enforcement apparatus. There's the
FBI, right? The bureau, and you can speak to this much better than I can, is
split across multiple divisions at headquarters, but then in each field office,
they're split across sections that focus on these parallel pieces to NSD,
right?
The counterintelligence, the counterespionage, the
counterterrorism. Not only have they been gutted of leadership and experience
across ranging hundreds of years collectively, but they've been stretched thin
and rediverted to immigration efforts and other efforts that kind of stem from
White House priorities.
And so that's a systematic lens. And one I forgot to mention
was obviously the U.S. attorney's offices around the country, which are
experiencing historical drops in numbers and an inability to fill those ranks.
So much so that we're now seeing, you know, avenues open up to become AUSAs by
tweeting some person's DMs or by just picking out your favorite executive
order, regardless of whether you have any legal experience.
And so I worry about the health of the institutions as they
continue to drop standards to bring people in.
And then you asked a second question, the individual side, and
I want to, I've talked a lot. I wanna kick it to you to see if you had a follow
up on some of what I just said.
Michael Feinberg:
Yeah. So I think what you're saying is absolutely true.
You know, I'll talk first about main justice, particularly as
it applies to the U.S. attorney's offices. That was traditionally a place of
employment where if you went to be a line AUSA, you couldn't get in off the
street. Nobody graduated from law school, and except in very rare
circumstances, immediately became an assistant U.S. attorney.
It was the sort of thing where you had to sort of prove your
medal and get some trial experience, either at the state and local level as a
prosecutor, or at one of the large white shoe law firms, and I would say
generally most of the people with whom I worked, both at the U.S. attorney's office
and within the counter espionage and export control section, probably had three
to six years at a minimum as practicing attorneys before they entered
government service.
So there was a reservoir of experience that I don't know you're
still going to get if you lower the requirements as they did this week to only
be one year of work experience prior to joining. And it's less an issue of
institutional culture and knowledge in the abstract than it is—I think we're
seeing for the first time since the department's founding, they're losing cases
and they're not getting indictments. I don't know if the general public knows
this, but for DOJ to not secure an indictment when it went before a grand jury
was almost unheard of.
And for DOJ to lose a case at prosecution happen in something
like less than 3% of its cases. But both of those things are occurring with
some degree of regularity now, and that might be solely a reflection on the
type of prosecutions that DOJ is trying to bring in line with the new White
House priorities that you've mentioned, but it can also be a reflection that
with this huge loss of personnel and with the lack of experience, they're just
not able on a tactical level to win cases.
And there's almost a death spiral in that, whereas every time
you lose a case, you lose a little bit of credibility and the more credibility
you lose, the harder it is to win future cases. So I think DOJ as a
prosecutorial machine is really in a bad place right now,
and to speak for my own former agency, the FBI, there has been
an unprecedented loss of expertise through firings, forced retirements, and
people just getting fed up and retiring years earlier than they expected to.
And that's a problem because as you know from working with us, agents aren't
fungible. A first-year agent right out of Quantico is not going to work at the
same level as somebody with five, 10, or 15 years of experience.
And that is particularly true in the national security realm,
simply because those more experienced agents, based on their time on target, have
things like increased cultural knowledge that allows them to build rapport with
sources and witnesses. They might have language skills. They might have dealt
with the terrorist organizations or counterintelligence operations in the past.
There's just a sort of inherent understanding of how these
cases should work that you don't get with anything other than time.
And one thing that the public, and I fear the leadership of DOJ
and the FBI doesn't understand either, is that investigations are also not
fungible to build a national security prosecution, is orders of magnitude more
complex than building many criminal prosecutions, and it is difficult to
continually attack those complex problems.
If 25 to 30% of your time as an investigator is you being
farmed out to another agency to deal with immigration roundups, so what you
said is a hundred percent true, and we could have a friendly debate about which
agency is worse off, but for the purposes of the American people being safe,
you don't want any of these agencies firing on anything less than full
cylinders.
Troy Edwards: Yeah,
and what's so problematic, and that I'm not sure is easy to see from the
outside is there is this two-pronged element to what the administration has
done to the national security apparatus.
On one hand, it has removed the leadership and experience, and
on the other hand, it has put the folks who remain in the position of having to
shoulder all of this responsibility without either the experience, or at the
very least the bandwidth. Because there are so few people and the resources and
something that's different about the national security space, which you touched
on than say, for example, a narcotics—a standard narcotics operation or
prosecution is the complicated nature of the front end before something goes
boom or before national defense information is transmitted unlawfully into
foreign adversary hands.
All of these steps ahead of time that the public never sees
depends in part on this leadership and this experience, and the muscle memory
of knowing how to do it and having the interagency relationships in place, such
that if it becomes a reactive case or a surge moment like you mentioned. Then
we have the people in place, the relationships in place such that it's firing
on full cylinder and when it does, it can stop this threat. And we saw that for
five, six years of a barrage of Iranian incidents.
And all of those cases that I put in, almost all of them, we
stopped it before the target was harmed. We stopped it before the
assassination. We were able to stem the tide of classified information flowing
to Iran and other hands. That only happens because we have just the bare bones
resources, but also that unspoken for quality of everyone who knows what
they're doing, knows the relationships in place, and knows how to do this
before it goes boom.
And I think that we've lost that. It's really hard to quantify
that until something goes wrong.
Michael Feinberg:
Yeah, so let's flesh that out a little bit. Let's talk about a specific example
for the benefit of our audience. Not a specific case, but a specific type of
problem set that could affect these prosecutions.
Is the predication for a lot of these investigations classified
or unclassified?
Troy Edwards:
Classified.
Michael Feinberg: And
can you sort of walk us through, if you're a prosecutor handling one of these
cases, and it's opened based on classified material—Maybe it's a human source
reporting from overseas. Maybe it's signals intelligence that another agency
has collected.
What problems does that immediately create for you as a
prosecutor? How do you ameliorate them? And what role does experience play in
that amelioration?
Troy Edwards: Yeah,
man, that's a, that's a useful exercise. So, completely hypothetically, this
walks in the door, which is likely not now in your office. You've been asked to
go into the skiff—
Michael Feinberg: Just
for people who don't know, is a specially outfitted room within certain
government buildings that allow you to receive, retain, and work on classified
material in a way you cannot in a less secure space.
Troy Edwards: Which
is already the first hurdle, because you need prosecutors who have the
clearance to be able to go in that facility and hear the information the agent
needs to present to you.
And it's even more complicated than that. The more you lose
this experience in the national security space across the country, the more you
lose folks who may be able to be qualified to be what's called “read in” to
certain compartmented information. And so in these tiers of classified
information, you have secret top, tou know you have lower than secret, top
secret. And then you have particularly compartmented information, which is
limited to a select number of folks who can potentially gain access to this
information for very short amounts of time.
And then when you gain access to it for short amounts of time,
you've now removed someone else who's on that billet list. I highlight this
kind of hyper-technical space because it is already a hurdle. That the
department may face if they have fewer and fewer people who can gain access to
that compartmented information. And that may exist in trying to combat foreign
adversaries like Iran or the IRGC. And so if that exists, then the agent needs
to be able to talk with the AUSA about that.
Then the agent, AUSA needs to think through how to develop
legal process with the agents as a team that can go before a judge. How do I
work with the agent? Right, 'cause it's two parts here. The agent who has
experienced theft to know how to discover information in an unclassified manner
to maybe either replicate or at least reveal some of the danger.
And then the AUSA who knows how to work with the agent to guide
this process to a product that can now go in an unclassified way to a judge to
seek a search warrant, or a 2703(d) order, which is one step below a search
warrant. And to build an investigation to either stop a threat before it
becomes materialized or in your mind, do it in a way that then will eventually
lead to a successful trial where you can present this stuff to a jury.
And so those are the kinds of things you're doing at the step
zero and step one with agents. Step negative number before zero is the agents
have to have already had the experience and relationships with sources around
the world and intelligence agencies around the world where they can collect
that information and know how to splice through it, know how to filter it and
see what's actionable and what's not, before they can even predicate the case
and bring it to the AUSA.
Michael Feinberg:
Yeah. And I just wanna sort of hammer home an earlier point that relates to
what you just said. To the extent, there is a reservoir of this sort of
knowledge and knowhow at the Justice Department, it's in the Counterespionage
and Export Control Section and in the Counterterrorism Section of the National
Security Division.
And as you mentioned, the turnover there has been astronomical.
I prosecuted counterintelligence cases for close to 16 years in my career. And
I only know one person who still remains in that entire division that I worked
with. And I worked with dozens.
The outflow of talent has been nothing sort short of
astounding,
Troy Edwards: And you
know, you get more specific.
We're talking, you know, some cases that could not have a CES
attorney that were ongoing because the CES attorney would either be fired by
the administration or would resign. And you'd cycle through CES attorney after
CES attorney in one case. And that is a danger both to that case, but also to
the wider national security goal of which we used to talk about in a zero-tolerance
policy.
We had no tolerance for mistakes. Nothing could go boom,
classified information could not leak or be unauthorized, you know, into other
hands.
And CES is a perfect example. It has lost over 50% of its
personnel. It has lost almost every single supervisor that existed down the
ranks from chief down to deputies.
At one point, there was a three-week span in 2025 where it had
three different heads of CES. And at some point that musical chair's experience
landed on someone from a U.S. attorney's office that didn't have the clearance
enough to sit in the skiff.
Michael Feinberg: And
who I believe had less than five years’ experience as a prosecutor.
Troy Edwards: That's
unheard of and puts us at risk.
And you know, I think we ignore too the progress that section
and other sections had made in the last few years. Think about it. NSD is
relatively young, right? It started in 2006. And so these litigating components
are developing their own identities over the last 20 years, particularly in a
post-9/11 threat landscape.
And the leadership there was doing a phenomenal job at
developing a culture of both excitement and aggression, leaning it forward and
dispersing across the country to lead U.S. attorney's offices and help AUSA
navigate this classified information space and this hyper-specialized foreign
adversary space.
And to lose all of that is to not only put us at risk now, when
we face a heightened threat risk from our conflict with Iran, but it's also put
us at risk moving forward because it's now losing progress at developing that
culture and adjusting with the ever-malleable threat landscape that exists.
It's gonna be a long time to pick that back up and start
rebuilding.
Michael Feinberg: So
with our last few minutes, I wanna bring us back to an Iran-specific topic. We
talked a lot about sort of the degeneration of the national security apparatus
in general and how that affects us now that Operation Epic Fury is ongoing.
But I'm gonna spring a question on you that is completely
unfair because your article does not touch upon it, and you and I have never
discussed this before, but I'm gonna sort of bring our institutional rivalry to
the fore a little and make an argument that only an FBI agent who spent his
entire career in counterintelligence would make, and can only really be argued
against by a prosecutor who spent most of his career in the national security
space.
And I'm gonna do it by asking you a question. Every example
we've talked about of trying to stop Iran from conducting operations on U.S. soil
has been in the context of something that was also ultimately prosecuted. Is
that a good strategy?
Prosecution makes sense. Does it have a real deterrent effect
on a nation state the same way it would on a domestic criminal organization? Or
should we be focusing our efforts more on things like double agent operations,
recruitments in place signals collection intelligence, interdiction of
technology before it gets to Iran. Like, in an ideal world where we actually
had all the prosecutorial resources we need, how much should they be leveraged
in actual prosecutions and criminal investigations versus what somebody in our
old organizations would call sort of the secret squirrel side of things?
Troy Edwards: Yeah.
Yeah. It's funny, I recently got my children a secret squirrel t-shirt, and so
I, that resonates with me. No, it's a good question. I'm gonna answer it in the
most lawyerly fashion and I'll resist the urge to snap like this is a Sharks
versus Jets moment.
Michael Feinberg:
Yeah.
Troy Edwards: The
both, there is no reason that the American public should not expect its
national security apparatus to do both.
And in a normal world, we do. The question is, why has the
administration gutted the apparatus so much that we are skeptical right now
that we can do both?
That's the hardest question, I think, to be answered, and so
let me put some flesh on that from two lenses, one lens as a prosecutor, and
then two, kind of more programmatically.
As the prosecutor, part of my goal when I started managing in
the national security space was to radically change the way we think about
AUSAs. In the national security space at least, yes, we are good and can be
helpful at prosecuting the case afterward and bringing it into court and making
sure that we seek justice for both victims, but also for the defendant, right
to face accountability when we capture that person.
There is no world in which we can't also aid the national
security mission well before a courtroom, and even if it doesn't even reach
into a courtroom. Because we have the ability to work with our inter-agency
partners in the intelligence community and the law enforcement community to
help with legal process that may supplement an investigation or may be able to
think through how to navigate something and stop it, but be involved early on
just in case it gets to a courtroom.
I think that we can do both and AUSAs ought to view their job—in
fact, I would talk about it as kind of wearing two hats. You should think about
wearing it as two hats, right? Agents do all the time at the FBI, whether
they're an intelligence hat or a law enforcement hat, and we'd often talk about
which hat are you wearing when we talk about this. AUSAs should do that too.
Okay? Programmatically we should do both, right?
We, and the national security apparatus, for those listening,
they will all vigorously nod. Right now we do both. We should be stopping Iran
by focusing on what materials we should interdict and stop from reaching Iran
in the first place.
We should be focused on signals intelligence. We should be
focused on affirmative cyberoperations from cyber command and from the NSA. We
should be focused on collecting that intelligence and making sure that we can't
be caught flatfooted moving forward.
It's only when activity crosses a certain threshold right of
materializing, certainly on the United States soil that we should then kick
into gear and say, okay, well maybe how should we stop this and bring it into a
courtroom? But to focus only on bringing defendants into Article Three
courtrooms, I think is one layer to a lot of layers of how we operate in the
national security space.
NSD was getting quite good at doing this, the secret squirrel
stuff that we talked about a second ago, and integrating itself into other
agencies before we even think about a criminal investigation or prosecution—That
apparatus is significantly damaged when the administration fires all the folks
who had enough experience to think creatively about how we should do this
better.
That's another unmeasurable quality that we've lost right now.
Michael Feinberg:
Yeah. I wanna hammer home that point by building on something you alluded to
earlier, which is the relative newness of this whole apparatus. You and I give
each other grief quite frequently in morning meetings about investigators
versus prosecutors and who has the primary ticket on something or is the best
at a certain task.
But we're able to do that because people like us over the past
few years have worked together throughout the entire lifecycle of a case. The
public has an idea, probably based on the 15,000 varieties of law and order
shows that are on given time that investigators carry things up to the 50-yard
line and then they hand it off to the prosecutors who finish.
And that certainly was the case for much of FBI and DOJ
history. But I think really in the years maybe. Probably starting five years
after 9/11 when things really got up and running. That wasn't how you and I
were trained.
Troy Edwards: Right.
Michael Feinberg:
When I had a case that I thought might go to prosecution, I'd bring in an
attorney as early as humanly possible, and we would have a frank conversation
that, Hey, we're looking at this guy. He's working for bad people and we
haven't decided yet whether we wanna recruit and turn him or if we wanna stop
him and prosecute him. But we would talk about that from day one and make sure
that if we went down the first path, we didn't do anything that would preclude
the second, if the first one did not work out.
And one of the really terrible things that has happened from
the point of view of our nation's safety is that those of us who have the
muscle memory of working in that fashion, and those of us who've done that
extensively, are exactly the generation that has been most pushed out.
Troy Edwards: Yeah,
that's right. And the folks who remain are still largely skilled, dedicated
public servants who wanna do this work.
And in some ways, maybe they can't because they've not had that
experience and so they don't know how to develop those relationships. Or they
do, and it's just gonna take time. Time we may not have.
And in another way, they're stretched thin. The byproduct of
removing all of these folks from the FBI and DOJ and other institutions is that
it reduces the capability of everyone who remains to shoulder the immense
responsibility of preventing a terror attack on United States soil, or an
espionage or intelligence failure in the United States.
And when they've been stretched thin and then diverted in
attention to immigration efforts or surges into D.C. for the Safe and Beautiful
Task Force, which a hundred agents are still being tasked to every day from
Washington Field Office or hundreds of NSD attorneys over the holidays to
redact Epstein documents.
Our eye is no longer on the ball, right, and the administration
seems to be hellbent on taking a mirror and whatever eye is still on the ball,
and shining as much sunlight as they can in it. And that gap in coverage, that
darkness worries me as we intensify our conflict with Iran because of Iran's
history in retaliating.
And not only saying it, but trying it on U.S. soil. And so
that's not a knock on the folks who are still left. It's a worry for them
because they are still operating with the mission of zero tolerance but given
fewer resources to do it.
Michael Feinberg:
Well on that slightly less than wholly optimistic note, I think we will leave
things and I will recommend your article to all of our listeners who want to
fully understand what has happened in the past in this sort of shadow battle
between Iran and the United States, and who are concerned now that warfare has
broken out into the open.
Troy Edwards: Thank
you so much for having me, Mike.
Michael Feinberg: The
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